FootballEdgeSeason 2026/27Self-updating record
Fixture · Championship · Wed 14 Oct 2026, 20:00 BST

Lincoln
v West Ham

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The model's read

Lincoln
37%
match result
Draw
28%
match result
West Ham
35%
match result
MarketModel probability
Double chance Lincoln or draw64.8%
Double chance West Ham or draw62.9%
Double chance either team72.3%
Over 1.5 goals78.0%
Over 2.5 goals53.0%
Over 3.5 goals30.7%
Both teams to score57.9%
Lincoln over 1.5 team goals41.5%
West Ham over 1.5 team goals40.0%
Lincoln clean sheet25.2%
West Ham clean sheet24.2%

Most likely scorelines: 1-1 13.1% · 2-1 8.5% · 1-2 8.2% · 1-0 7.5% · 0-0 7.3%

Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.

Availability and rotation

No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.

Rotation risk — Lincoln: another match 2d after (2026-10-17).

Rotation risk — West Ham: another match 2d after (2026-10-17).

Hot stats & streaks

Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.

West Ham

  • West Ham are unbeaten in their last 6 league games (W4 D2).

Players in form

  • G. Wickens has made 28 saves in 8 league games this season.
  • F. Draper has scored 2 goals in 8 league games this season.
  • R. Hackett has scored 2 goals in 8 league games this season.
  • J. Bowen has 4 goals and 3 assists in 8 league games this season.
  • K. Mavropanos has scored 4 goals in 7 league games this season.
  • M. Hermansen has made 18 saves in 8 league games this season.

This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.

Recent form — Lincoln

DateRScoreOpponentxG for-against
19 SepL1-2Swansea (H)2.1 - 0.9
15 SepW1-0Bristol City (A)0.5 - 1.5
12 SepW1-0Preston (A)0.7 - 0.6
05 SepD1-1Southampton (H)2.3 - 0.8
01 SepD0-0Blackburn (H)1.5 - 0.2
29 AugW1-0Bolton (A)1.3 - 1.9

Recent form — West Ham

DateRScoreOpponentxG for-against
19 SepD2-2Millwall (A)1.9 - 2.7
11 SepW6-0Wrexham (H)3.0 - 0.4
08 SepW3-2Bolton (A)2.2 - 1.6
05 SepW3-0Derby (H)3.8 - 0.1
01 SepW4-2Wolves (H)2.0 - 0.9
29 AugD1-1Watford (A)0.9 - 1.6

Chance quality, most recent season

Lincoln
+0.27
xG diff/game · 1.38 for, 1.11 against
West Ham
+0.69
xG diff/game · 1.91 for, 1.22 against

Where they stand

TeamLeagueSeason PosP PtsPPGGoals Form
LincolnChampionship2026/2797111.5716–6WWDDW
West HamChampionship2026/2717142.020–9WWWWD

The table as it stands this season.

Home and away

TeamVenueLeagueSeason W-D-L Goals for / against per gameClean sheets
LincolnhomeChampionship2026/270-2-10.7 / 1.31
West HamawayChampionship2026/271-2-02.0 / 1.70

This season’s home and away splits.

Head to head

Last 1 meetings: Lincoln 0 wins, 0 draws, West Ham 1 wins — 1.0 goals a game on average.

Match-by-match detail predates the fixtures this site tracks; the summary above comes from the head-to-head archive.