Fixture · Championship · Wed 14 Oct 2026, 19:45 BST
Portsmouth
v Sheffield Utd
The model's read
Portsmouth
45%
match result
Draw
29%
match result
Sheffield Utd
26%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Portsmouth or draw | 73.7% |
| Double chance Sheffield Utd or draw | 55.5% |
| Double chance either team | 70.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23.4% |
| Both teams to score | 50.3% |
| Portsmouth over 1.5 team goals | 41.6% |
| Sheffield Utd over 1.5 team goals | 27.9% |
| Portsmouth clean sheet | 35.4% |
| Sheffield Utd clean sheet | 24.1% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 13.9% · 1-0 10.9% · 0-0 9.8% · 2-1 9.0% · 2-0 8.6%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — Portsmouth: another match 2d after (2026-10-17).
Rotation risk — Sheffield Utd: another match 2d after (2026-10-17).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Portsmouth
- Portsmouth are unbeaten in their last 3 league games (W1 D2).
Sheffield Utd
- Sheffield Utd have conceded in each of their last 6 league games.
Players in form
- M. Milovanović has scored 2 goals in 5 league games this season.
- D. Bielica has made 14 saves in 7 league games this season.
- N. Schmid has made 8 saves in 7 league games this season.
- M. Cooper has made 27 saves in 8 league games this season.
- P. Bamford has scored 2 goals in 8 league games this season.
- T. Cannon has scored 2 goals in 8 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Portsmouth
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | D | 2-2 | Blackburn (H) | 1.6 - 0.6 |
| 12 Sep | D | 0-0 | Charlton (A) | 0.4 - 0.8 |
| 05 Sep | W | 2-0 | Cardiff (H) | 2.1 - 1.4 |
| 01 Sep | L | 0-2 | Derby (H) | 0.8 - 0.6 |
| 29 Aug | L | 1-2 | Bristol City (A) | 1.4 - 0.6 |
| 22 Aug | W | 3-1 | Lincoln (A) | 0.7 - 2.1 |
Recent form — Sheffield Utd
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | L | 1-2 | Stoke City (A) | 0.4 - 0.7 |
| 13 Sep | L | 0-1 | Wolves (H) | 0.6 - 1.6 |
| 08 Sep | W | 2-1 | Blackburn (A) | 0.5 - 1.6 |
| 05 Sep | L | 1-3 | Norwich (H) | 0.8 - 3.0 |
| 01 Sep | W | 3-2 | Bolton (H) | 2.2 - 1.9 |
| 29 Aug | D | 2-2 | Cardiff (A) | 1.3 - 2.2 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Portsmouth
+0.12
xG diff/game · 1.27 for, 1.15 against
Sheffield Utd
-0.66
xG diff/game · 0.84 for, 1.50 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth | Championship | 2026/27 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 1.167 | 7–8 | DWLLW |
| Sheffield Utd | Championship | 2026/27 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 1.286 | 8–9 | LWLWD |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth | home | Championship | 2026/27 | 1-0-2 | 1.0 / 1.7 | 1 |
| Sheffield Utd | away | Championship | 2026/27 | 1-2-0 | 1.3 / 1.0 | 1 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 6 meetings: Portsmouth 1 wins, 1 draws, Sheffield Utd 4 wins — 1.83 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 26 | Portsmouth | 0-1 | Sheffield Utd |
| 26 Nov 25 | Sheffield Utd | 3-0 | Portsmouth |