Fixture · Bundesliga · Fri 16 Oct 2026, 19:30 BST
Eintracht Frankfurt
v 1. FC Köln
The model's read
Eintracht Frankfurt
46%
match result
Draw
24%
match result
1. FC Köln
30%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Eintracht Frankfurt or draw | 70.1% |
| Double chance 1. FC Köln or draw | 53.6% |
| Double chance either team | 76.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46.2% |
| Both teams to score | 68.4% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt over 1.5 team goals | 58.0% |
| 1. FC Köln over 1.5 team goals | 45.7% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt clean sheet | 21.3% |
| 1. FC Köln clean sheet | 14.2% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 10.1% · 2-1 8.9% · 1-2 7.1% · 2-2 6.9% · 3-1 5.8%
Model readiness. Eintracht Frankfurt has played 4 league games this season, 1. FC Köln 4 league games. Until 6, a club's rating still leans on last season's data, so read early-season calls with a raised eyebrow — it is the model's most documented weakness (the fix) and it is split out on the record.
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Eintracht Frankfurt
- Both teams have scored in each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 12 league games.
- Eintracht Frankfurt have not won any of their last 6 home league games (D3 L3).
- Eintracht Frankfurt have conceded in each of their last 12 league games.
- 6 of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 6 home league games produced over 2.5 goals.
1. FC Köln
- 1. FC Köln are winless in their last 3 league games (D1 L2).
- Both teams have scored in each of 1. FC Köln's last 14 league games.
- 1. FC Köln have conceded in each of their last 18 league games.
- 1. FC Köln have not won any of their last 6 away league games (D3 L3).
Players in form
- N. Atubolu has made 21 saves in 4 league games this season.
- Y. Ebnoutalib has scored 4 goals in 4 league games this season.
- J. Burkardt has scored 3 goals in 4 league games this season.
- T. Dallinga has scored 2 goals in 3 league games this season.
- M. Schwäbe has made 15 saves in 4 league games this season.
- E. Skhiri has 2 assists in 4 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Eintracht Frankfurt
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | D | 2-2 | SC Freiburg (H) | 2.2 - 3.1 |
| 12 Sep | W | 3-1 | FSV Mainz 05 (A) | 2.0 - 2.1 |
| 06 Sep | L | 1-4 | FC Augsburg (H) | 2.2 - 1.1 |
| 29 Aug | D | 3-3 | Union Berlin (A) | 1.5 - 1.8 |
| 16 May | D | 2-2 | VfB Stuttgart (H) | 2.6 - 1.3 |
| 08 May | L | 2-3 | Borussia Dortmund (A) | 1.1 - 1.9 |
Recent form — 1. FC Köln
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | L | 1-2 | Hamburger SV (A) | 1.4 - 1.4 |
| 12 Sep | D | 1-1 | Werder Bremen (H) | 1.6 - 1.1 |
| 04 Sep | L | 1-4 | VfB Stuttgart (A) | 2.9 - 3.5 |
| 29 Aug | W | 3-2 | 1899 Hoffenheim (H) | 1.9 - 1.9 |
| 16 May | L | 1-5 | Bayern München (A) | 1.0 - 3.0 |
| 10 May | L | 1-3 | 1. FC Heidenheim (H) | 1.2 - 1.4 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Eintracht Frankfurt
-0.07
xG diff/game · 1.98 for, 2.04 against
1. FC Köln
-0.01
xG diff/game · 1.97 for, 1.98 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 1.333 | 7–8 | WLD |
| 1. FC Köln | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 1.333 | 5–7 | DLW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt | home | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 0-0-1 | 1.0 / 4.0 | 0 |
| 1. FC Köln | away | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 0-0-1 | 1.0 / 4.0 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Eintracht Frankfurt 2 wins, 5 draws, 1. FC Köln 3 wins — 2.7 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr 26 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2-2 | 1. FC Köln |
| 22 Nov 25 | 1. FC Köln | 3-4 | Eintracht Frankfurt |