Fixture · Serie A · Sat 17 Oct 2026, 17:00 BST
Bologna
v Inter
The model's read
Bologna
22%
match result
Draw
25%
match result
Inter
53%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Bologna or draw | 47.3% |
| Double chance Inter or draw | 78.2% |
| Double chance either team | 74.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.3% |
| Both teams to score | 56.1% |
| Bologna over 1.5 team goals | 29.5% |
| Inter over 1.5 team goals | 53.2% |
| Bologna clean sheet | 16.8% |
| Inter clean sheet | 33.9% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 12.1% · 1-2 9.8% · 0-1 9.1% · 0-2 9.1% · 0-0 6.8%
Model readiness. Bologna has played 5 league games this season, Inter 7 league games. Until 6, a club's rating still leans on last season's data, so read early-season calls with a raised eyebrow — it is the model's most documented weakness (the fix) and it is split out on the record.
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Bologna
- Bologna are winless in their last 6 league games (D3 L3).
- Bologna have not won any of their last 6 home league games (D4 L2).
- Bologna have conceded in each of their last 6 league games.
Inter
- Inter are unbeaten in their last 16 league games (W10 D6).
- 5 of Inter's last 6 away league games produced over 2.5 goals.
- Inter have averaged 2.5 goals a game across their last 6 away league games.
Players in form
- Łukasz Skorupski has made 9 saves in 5 league games this season.
- Lautaro Martínez has scored 4 goals in 6 league games this season.
- H. Çalhanoğlu has scored 3 goals in 4 league games this season.
- M. Thuram has scored 3 goals in 6 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Bologna
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | D | 1-1 | Torino (H) | 0.6 - 0.8 |
| 13 Sep | L | 0-1 | Napoli (A) | 0.2 - 1.8 |
| 06 Sep | D | 2-2 | Sassuolo (H) | 1.9 - 1.6 |
| 31 Aug | L | 0-1 | Atalanta (A) | 1.3 - 0.2 |
| 24 Aug | L | 0-1 | Lazio (H) | 1.7 - 0.6 |
| 23 May | D | 3-3 | Inter (H) | 1.4 - 1.8 |
Recent form — Inter
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | W | 3-0 | Parma (H) | 2.4 - 0.4 |
| 19 Sep | D | 2-2 | AS Roma (A) | 2.4 - 1.7 |
| 14 Sep | W | 5-3 | Udinese (H) | 3.1 - 0.8 |
| 08 Sep | L | 1-2 | Real Madrid (A) | 1.8 - 2.9 |
| 05 Sep | W | 3-2 | Napoli (H) | 3.9 - 2.4 |
| 30 Aug | W | 1-0 | Cagliari (A) | 3.8 - 0.5 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Bologna
+0.14
xG diff/game · 1.13 for, 0.99 against
Inter
+1.65
xG diff/game · 2.79 for, 1.14 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna | Serie A | 2026/27 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 2–5 | LDLL |
| Inter | Serie A | 2026/27 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 3.0 | 13–6 | WWWW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna | home | Serie A | 2026/27 | 0-1-1 | 1.0 / 1.5 | 0 |
| Inter | away | Serie A | 2026/27 | 1-0-0 | 1.0 / 0.0 | 1 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Bologna 3 wins, 4 draws, Inter 3 wins — 3.3 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May 26 | Bologna | 3-3 | Inter |
| 04 Jan 26 | Inter | 3-1 | Bologna |