Fixture · Championship · Sat 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 BST
Bristol City
v Sheffield Utd
The model's read
Bristol City
49%
match result
Draw
27%
match result
Sheffield Utd
25%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Bristol City or draw | 75.4% |
| Double chance Sheffield Utd or draw | 51.4% |
| Double chance either team | 73.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.0% |
| Both teams to score | 55.4% |
| Bristol City over 1.5 team goals | 49.0% |
| Sheffield Utd over 1.5 team goals | 30.7% |
| Bristol City clean sheet | 32.8% |
| Sheffield Utd clean sheet | 19.3% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 12.8% · 2-1 9.6% · 1-0 9.2% · 2-0 8.6% · 0-0 7.5%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — Sheffield Utd: another match 3d before (2026-10-14).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Players in form
- Rio Cardines has 0 goals and 6 assists in 9 league games this season.
- D. Ballard has scored 3 goals in 9 league games this season.
- S. Twine has scored 3 goals in 9 league games this season.
- M. Cooper has made 30 saves in 9 league games this season.
- P. Bamford has scored 4 goals in 9 league games this season.
- T. Cannon has scored 2 goals in 9 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Bristol City
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | D | 1-1 | Charlton (A) | 1.6 - 2.0 |
| 18 Sep | W | 1-0 | Watford (H) | — |
| 15 Sep | L | 0-1 | Lincoln (H) | 1.5 - 0.5 |
| 12 Sep | L | 1-4 | Southampton (A) | 2.2 - 1.7 |
| 05 Sep | W | 2-1 | Burnley (A) | 1.1 - 0.3 |
| 01 Sep | W | 3-1 | Preston (A) | 1.8 - 1.9 |
Recent form — Sheffield Utd
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | W | 3-0 | Lincoln (H) | 0.6 - 1.3 |
| 19 Sep | L | 1-2 | Stoke City (A) | 0.4 - 0.7 |
| 13 Sep | L | 0-1 | Wolves (H) | 0.6 - 1.6 |
| 08 Sep | W | 2-1 | Blackburn (A) | 0.5 - 1.6 |
| 05 Sep | L | 1-3 | Norwich (H) | 0.8 - 3.0 |
| 01 Sep | W | 3-2 | Bolton (H) | 2.2 - 1.9 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Bristol City
-0.12
xG diff/game · 1.31 for, 1.43 against
Sheffield Utd
-0.67
xG diff/game · 0.81 for, 1.48 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City | Championship | 2026/27 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 1.625 | 11–12 | WLLWW |
| Sheffield Utd | Championship | 2026/27 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 1.286 | 8–9 | LWLWD |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City | home | Championship | 2026/27 | 1-0-1 | 1.0 / 1.5 | 0 |
| Sheffield Utd | away | Championship | 2026/27 | 1-2-0 | 1.3 / 1.0 | 1 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Bristol City 2 wins, 2 draws, Sheffield Utd 6 wins — 2.3 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr 26 | Bristol City | 1-0 | Sheffield Utd |
| 09 Aug 25 | Sheffield Utd | 1-4 | Bristol City |