Fixture · Premier League · Sat 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 BST
Manchester City
v Ipswich
The model's read
Manchester City
54%
match result
Draw
24%
match result
Ipswich
22%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Manchester City or draw | 78.2% |
| Double chance Ipswich or draw | 45.6% |
| Double chance either team | 76.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.6% |
| Both teams to score | 60.7% |
| Manchester City over 1.5 team goals | 58.3% |
| Ipswich over 1.5 team goals | 33.3% |
| Manchester City clean sheet | 30.5% |
| Ipswich clean sheet | 14.1% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 11.0% · 2-1 9.8% · 2-0 8.3% · 1-0 7.4% · 3-1 6.4%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — Manchester City: another match 3d before (2026-10-14).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Manchester City
- Manchester City have won their last 5 league games.
- Manchester City have won 5 of their last 6 home league games.
- 5 of Manchester City's last 6 home league games produced over 2.5 goals.
- Manchester City have averaged 2.5 goals a game across their last 6 home league games.
Ipswich
- Ipswich have conceded in each of their last 6 league games.
Players in form
- E. Haaland has scored 5 goals in 5 league games this season.
- A. Semenyo has 2 goals and 3 assists in 5 league games this season.
- R. Cherki has scored 3 goals in 5 league games this season.
- K. Scherpen has made 16 saves in 6 league games this season.
- L. Davis has scored 2 goals in 6 league games this season.
- Emersonn has scored 2 goals in 6 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Manchester City
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | W | 5-3 | Sunderland (H) | 2.8 - 3.6 |
| 13 Sep | W | 1-0 | Manchester United (A) | 1.1 - 1.0 |
| 08 Sep | W | 2-0 | FC Porto (A) | 2.3 - 0.3 |
| 05 Sep | W | 1-0 | Coventry (H) | 2.1 - 1.4 |
| 28 Aug | W | 4-1 | Crystal Palace (A) | 1.4 - 0.6 |
| 23 Aug | W | 2-1 | Bournemouth (H) | 2.4 - 0.6 |
Recent form — Ipswich
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | W | 2-1 | Fulham (H) | 1.2 - 1.9 |
| 19 Sep | L | 0-1 | Everton (A) | 1.4 - 2.2 |
| 12 Sep | W | 3-2 | Crystal Palace (A) | 1.7 - 0.6 |
| 04 Sep | L | 0-2 | Liverpool (H) | 0.8 - 0.7 |
| 30 Aug | L | 2-5 | Manchester United (A) | 2.0 - 4.6 |
| 22 Aug | W | 2-1 | Sunderland (H) | 1.6 - 0.7 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Manchester City
+0.54
xG diff/game · 1.97 for, 1.43 against
Ipswich
-0.33
xG diff/game · 1.46 for, 1.79 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Premier League | 2026/27 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 3.0 | 8–2 | WWWW |
| Ipswich | Premier League | 2026/27 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 1.5 | 7–10 | WLLW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | home | Premier League | 2026/27 | 2-0-0 | 1.5 / 0.5 | 1 |
| Ipswich | away | Premier League | 2026/27 | 1-0-1 | 2.5 / 3.5 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 2 meetings: Manchester City 2 wins, 0 draws, Ipswich 0 wins — 5.5 goals a game on average.
Match-by-match detail predates the fixtures this site tracks; the summary above comes from the head-to-head archive.