Fixture · Championship · Sat 17 Oct 2026, 12:30 BST
Millwall
v Lincoln
The model's read
Millwall
45%
match result
Draw
28%
match result
Lincoln
27%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Millwall or draw | 72.6% |
| Double chance Lincoln or draw | 55.1% |
| Double chance either team | 72.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.6% |
| Both teams to score | 55.2% |
| Millwall over 1.5 team goals | 45.6% |
| Lincoln over 1.5 team goals | 32.3% |
| Millwall clean sheet | 31.4% |
| Lincoln clean sheet | 21.4% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 13.2% · 2-1 9.3% · 1-0 9.1% · 2-0 8.0% · 0-0 7.9%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — Lincoln: another match 3d before (2026-10-14).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Millwall
- Millwall are unbeaten in their last 3 league games (W1 D2).
- Both teams scored in only 1 of Millwall's last 6 home league games.
Lincoln
- Both teams scored in only 1 of Lincoln's last 5 away league games.
Players in form
- L. Dykes has scored 4 goals in 9 league games this season.
- C. Neghli has scored 3 goals in 9 league games this season.
- T. Arconte has scored 3 goals in 8 league games this season.
- G. Wickens has made 30 saves in 9 league games this season.
- F. Draper has scored 2 goals in 9 league games this season.
- R. Hackett has scored 2 goals in 8 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Millwall
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | W | 1-0 | Preston (A) | 1.1 - 0.7 |
| 19 Sep | D | 2-2 | West Ham (H) | 2.7 - 1.9 |
| 15 Sep | D | 2-2 | Middlesbrough (A) | 1.7 - 1.5 |
| 12 Sep | L | 1-3 | Blackburn (A) | 1.7 - 1.2 |
| 05 Sep | W | 4-0 | Bolton (H) | 2.6 - 0.9 |
| 02 Sep | L | 0-3 | Wrexham (H) | 0.2 - 0.9 |
Recent form — Lincoln
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | L | 0-3 | Sheffield Utd (A) | 1.3 - 0.6 |
| 19 Sep | L | 1-2 | Swansea (H) | 2.1 - 0.9 |
| 15 Sep | W | 1-0 | Bristol City (A) | 0.5 - 1.5 |
| 12 Sep | W | 1-0 | Preston (A) | 0.7 - 0.6 |
| 05 Sep | D | 1-1 | Southampton (H) | 2.3 - 0.8 |
| 01 Sep | D | 0-0 | Blackburn (H) | 1.5 - 0.2 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Millwall
+0.47
xG diff/game · 1.82 for, 1.35 against
Lincoln
+0.32
xG diff/game · 1.38 for, 1.06 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | Championship | 2026/27 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 1.429 | 13–13 | DLWLL |
| Lincoln | Championship | 2026/27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 1.571 | 6–6 | WWDDW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | home | Championship | 2026/27 | 2-0-1 | 2.3 / 1.0 | 2 |
| Lincoln | away | Championship | 2026/27 | 2-0-1 | 1.0 / 0.7 | 2 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
No meetings on record.