Fixture · Championship · Sat 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 BST
Norwich
v Portsmouth
The model's read
Norwich
46%
match result
Draw
28%
match result
Portsmouth
26%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Norwich or draw | 73.8% |
| Double chance Portsmouth or draw | 54.4% |
| Double chance either team | 71.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26.3% |
| Both teams to score | 52.8% |
| Norwich over 1.5 team goals | 44.4% |
| Portsmouth over 1.5 team goals | 29.6% |
| Norwich clean sheet | 33.7% |
| Portsmouth clean sheet | 22.2% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 13.5% · 1-0 10.0% · 2-1 9.2% · 0-0 8.7% · 2-0 8.5%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — Norwich: another match 3d before (2026-10-14).
Rotation risk — Portsmouth: another match 3d before (2026-10-14).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Norwich
- Norwich have lost their last 3 league games.
- Norwich have conceded in each of their last 16 league games.
- Both teams have scored in each of Norwich's last 5 league games.
- 5 of Norwich's last 6 home league games produced over 2.5 goals.
Portsmouth
- Portsmouth are unbeaten in their last 3 league games (W1 D2).
Players in form
- V. Kovačević has made 22 saves in 9 league games this season.
- M. Touré has scored 5 goals in 7 league games this season.
- A. Brooks has scored 2 goals in 9 league games this season.
- M. Milovanović has scored 2 goals in 5 league games this season.
- D. Bielica has made 14 saves in 7 league games this season.
- N. Schmid has made 8 saves in 7 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Norwich
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | L | 1-2 | Swansea (A) | 0.7 - 2.2 |
| 20 Sep | L | 3-4 | Bolton (H) | 0.7 - 1.1 |
| 12 Sep | L | 3-4 | Middlesbrough (A) | 1.8 - 2.4 |
| 09 Sep | W | 2-1 | Birmingham (H) | 1.0 - 1.6 |
| 05 Sep | W | 3-1 | Sheffield Utd (A) | 3.0 - 0.8 |
| 01 Sep | L | 0-1 | Stoke City (A) | 1.4 - 0.2 |
Recent form — Portsmouth
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | D | 2-2 | Blackburn (H) | 1.6 - 0.6 |
| 12 Sep | D | 0-0 | Charlton (A) | 0.4 - 0.8 |
| 05 Sep | W | 2-0 | Cardiff (H) | 2.1 - 1.4 |
| 01 Sep | L | 0-2 | Derby (H) | 0.8 - 0.6 |
| 29 Aug | L | 1-2 | Bristol City (A) | 1.4 - 0.6 |
| 22 Aug | W | 3-1 | Lincoln (A) | 0.7 - 2.1 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Norwich
+0.15
xG diff/game · 1.62 for, 1.47 against
Portsmouth
+0.12
xG diff/game · 1.27 for, 1.15 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich | Championship | 2026/27 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 1.286 | 13–13 | LWWLW |
| Portsmouth | Championship | 2026/27 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 1.167 | 7–8 | DWLLW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich | home | Championship | 2026/27 | 2-0-1 | 2.3 / 1.3 | 0 |
| Portsmouth | away | Championship | 2026/27 | 1-1-1 | 1.3 / 1.0 | 1 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 5 meetings: Norwich 1 wins, 2 draws, Portsmouth 2 wins — 2.8 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr 26 | Norwich | 1-1 | Portsmouth |
| 16 Aug 25 | Portsmouth | 1-2 | Norwich |