Fixture · Championship · Sat 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 BST
Swansea
v West Ham
The model's read
Swansea
41%
match result
Draw
26%
match result
West Ham
32%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Swansea or draw | 67.6% |
| Double chance West Ham or draw | 58.8% |
| Double chance either team | 73.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.2% |
| Both teams to score | 61.2% |
| Swansea over 1.5 team goals | 47.4% |
| West Ham over 1.5 team goals | 40.7% |
| Swansea clean sheet | 24.7% |
| West Ham clean sheet | 20.2% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 12.3% · 2-1 8.9% · 1-2 7.8% · 1-0 6.9% · 2-0 6.4%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — West Ham: another match 3d before (2026-10-14).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Swansea
- Swansea have won their last 3 league games.
- Both teams have scored in each of Swansea's last 4 league games.
West Ham
- West Ham are unbeaten in their last 7 league games (W4 D3).
Players in form
- L. Vigouroux has made 20 saves in 9 league games this season.
- A. Idah has scored 4 goals in 9 league games this season.
- M. Yeo has scored 3 goals in 9 league games this season.
- J. Bowen has 5 goals and 3 assists in 9 league games this season.
- M. Hermansen has made 20 saves in 9 league games this season.
- K. Mavropanos has scored 4 goals in 8 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Swansea
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | W | 2-1 | Norwich (H) | 2.2 - 0.7 |
| 19 Sep | W | 2-1 | Lincoln (A) | 0.9 - 2.1 |
| 12 Sep | W | 3-1 | Burnley (H) | 2.6 - 1.7 |
| 08 Sep | L | 1-3 | Southampton (A) | 1.2 - 1.4 |
| 05 Sep | D | 0-0 | Wrexham (H) | 0.7 - 0.7 |
| 01 Sep | W | 2-0 | Watford (H) | 2.7 - 0.9 |
Recent form — West Ham
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct | D | 1-1 | QPR (H) | 1.6 - 1.2 |
| 19 Sep | D | 2-2 | Millwall (A) | 1.9 - 2.7 |
| 11 Sep | W | 6-0 | Wrexham (H) | 3.0 - 0.4 |
| 08 Sep | W | 3-2 | Bolton (A) | 2.2 - 1.6 |
| 05 Sep | W | 3-0 | Derby (H) | 3.8 - 0.1 |
| 01 Sep | W | 4-2 | Wolves (H) | 2.0 - 0.9 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Swansea
+0.55
xG diff/game · 1.60 for, 1.05 against
West Ham
+0.65
xG diff/game · 1.87 for, 1.22 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | Championship | 2026/27 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 2.0 | 11–5 | WLDWW |
| West Ham | Championship | 2026/27 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 2.0 | 20–9 | WWWWD |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | home | Championship | 2026/27 | 2-2-0 | 1.3 / 0.3 | 3 |
| West Ham | away | Championship | 2026/27 | 1-2-0 | 2.0 / 1.7 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Swansea 2 wins, 3 draws, West Ham 5 wins — 2.5 goals a game on average.
Match-by-match detail predates the fixtures this site tracks; the summary above comes from the head-to-head archive.