Fixture · 2. Bundesliga · Sat 17 Oct 2026, 12:30 BST
VfL Wolfsburg
v 1. FC Heidenheim
The model's read
VfL Wolfsburg
49%
match result
Draw
23%
match result
1. FC Heidenheim
28%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance VfL Wolfsburg or draw | 71.9% |
| Double chance 1. FC Heidenheim or draw | 51.4% |
| Double chance either team | 76.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 47.0% |
| Both teams to score | 68.5% |
| VfL Wolfsburg over 1.5 team goals | 60.0% |
| 1. FC Heidenheim over 1.5 team goals | 44.6% |
| VfL Wolfsburg clean sheet | 22.0% |
| 1. FC Heidenheim clean sheet | 13.3% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 9.8% · 2-1 9.0% · 2-2 6.8% · 1-2 6.8% · 3-1 6.1%
Young rating. This league joined the model this season, so the numbers
above are built on a first season of data only — a small sample with no prior
seasons behind it. Read them with more caution than the established six leagues. No
picks are generated from young leagues; how well these reads age is scored in public,
separately, on the calibration page.
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
1. FC Heidenheim
- 1. FC Heidenheim are unbeaten in their last 5 league games (W3 D2).
Players in form
- F. Reese has scored 3 goals in 3 league games this season.
- J. Schöppner has scored 3 goals in 3 league games this season.
- M. Costly has 1 goal and 2 assists in 3 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — VfL Wolfsburg
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | D | 4-4 | 1. FC Nürnberg (A) | 3.7 - 2.2 |
| 18 Sep | W | 5-1 | SV Darmstadt 98 (H) | 1.7 - 1.2 |
| 12 Sep | L | 0-1 | FC St. Pauli (A) | — |
| 05 Sep | D | 4-4 | Energie Cottbus (H) | 3.8 - 3.0 |
| 29 Aug | W | 5-2 | Karlsruher SC (A) | 3.0 - 1.6 |
| 16 Aug | W | 1-0 | Hannover 96 (A) | 1.7 - 1.2 |
Recent form — 1. FC Heidenheim
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | D | 0-0 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern (H) | 0.9 - 1.4 |
| 20 Sep | D | 2-2 | Arminia Bielefeld (A) | 2.5 - 0.5 |
| 13 Sep | W | 1-0 | Holstein Kiel (H) | 2.3 - 0.8 |
| 06 Sep | W | 1-0 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth (A) | 0.9 - 0.6 |
| 29 Aug | W | 5-3 | Dynamo Dresden (H) | 3.2 - 1.5 |
| 15 Aug | L | 1-4 | Hertha BSC (A) | 1.0 - 2.0 |
Chance quality, most recent season
VfL Wolfsburg
+0.84
xG diff/game · 2.54 for, 1.71 against
1. FC Heidenheim
+0.69
xG diff/game · 1.91 for, 1.22 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Wolfsburg | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 1.833 | 15–8 | WLDWW |
| 1. FC Heidenheim | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 2.4 | 12–10 | WWWLW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Wolfsburg | home | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 0-2-0 | 2.0 / 2.0 | 1 |
| 1. FC Heidenheim | away | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 1-0-1 | 1.0 / 2.0 | 1 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 8 meetings: VfL Wolfsburg 5 wins, 2 draws, 1. FC Heidenheim 1 wins — 2.62 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 26 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1-1 | 1. FC Heidenheim |
| 23 Aug 25 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 1-3 | VfL Wolfsburg |