Fixture · Championship · Sat 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 BST
West Brom
v Blackburn
The model's read
West Brom
42%
match result
Draw
30%
match result
Blackburn
28%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance West Brom or draw | 72.1% |
| Double chance Blackburn or draw | 58.0% |
| Double chance either team | 69.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21.5% |
| Both teams to score | 48.8% |
| West Brom over 1.5 team goals | 38.4% |
| Blackburn over 1.5 team goals | 27.9% |
| West Brom clean sheet | 35.4% |
| Blackburn clean sheet | 26.5% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 14.2% · 1-0 11.2% · 0-0 10.7% · 2-1 8.6% · 0-1 8.4%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
West Brom
- West Brom are winless in their last 3 league games (D1 L2).
- Only 1 of West Brom's last 6 home league games produced over 2.5 goals.
Blackburn
- Blackburn are unbeaten in their last 3 league games (W2 D1).
- Both teams have scored in each of Blackburn's last 5 league games.
- 5 of Blackburn's last 6 away league games produced over 2.5 goals.
Players in form
- M. O’Leary has made 33 saves in 9 league games this season.
- C. Styles has scored 2 goals in 9 league games this season.
- I. Price has scored 2 goals in 9 league games this season.
- A. Guðjohnsen has scored 4 goals in 8 league games this season.
- O. Afolayan has scored 3 goals in 9 league games this season.
- R. Morishita has scored 2 goals in 9 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — West Brom
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | L | 0-1 | Birmingham (H) | 1.1 - 2.6 |
| 20 Sep | L | 0-1 | Wolves (A) | — |
| 12 Sep | D | 1-1 | QPR (H) | 1.2 - 0.6 |
| 09 Sep | W | 1-0 | Derby (A) | 0.4 - 1.3 |
| 05 Sep | W | 1-0 | Watford (H) | 1.1 - 1.3 |
| 02 Sep | D | 1-1 | Charlton (H) | 0.6 - 0.4 |
Recent form — Blackburn
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | W | 2-1 | Cardiff (H) | 1.8 - 1.1 |
| 19 Sep | D | 2-2 | Portsmouth (A) | 0.6 - 1.6 |
| 12 Sep | W | 3-1 | Millwall (H) | 1.2 - 1.7 |
| 08 Sep | L | 1-2 | Sheffield Utd (H) | 1.6 - 0.5 |
| 05 Sep | L | 1-2 | Preston (A) | 1.1 - 2.2 |
| 01 Sep | D | 0-0 | Lincoln (A) | 0.2 - 1.5 |
Chance quality, most recent season
West Brom
-0.46
xG diff/game · 1.11 for, 1.57 against
Blackburn
-0.38
xG diff/game · 0.99 for, 1.37 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | Championship | 2026/27 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 2.0 | 10–7 | DWWDL |
| Blackburn | Championship | 2026/27 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1.143 | 10–10 | WLLDL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | home | Championship | 2026/27 | 2-2-0 | 1.5 / 0.8 | 1 |
| Blackburn | away | Championship | 2026/27 | 0-2-1 | 1.0 / 1.3 | 1 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: West Brom 3 wins, 4 draws, Blackburn 3 wins — 1.9 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr 26 | Blackburn | 0-0 | West Brom |
| 09 Aug 25 | West Brom | 1-0 | Blackburn |