Fixture · Championship · Sat 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 BST
Wrexham
v Preston
The model's read
Wrexham
39%
match result
Draw
29%
match result
Preston
32%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Wrexham or draw | 67.6% |
| Double chance Preston or draw | 61.5% |
| Double chance either team | 70.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.6% |
| Both teams to score | 53.3% |
| Wrexham over 1.5 team goals | 39.0% |
| Preston over 1.5 team goals | 34.3% |
| Wrexham clean sheet | 29.6% |
| Preston clean sheet | 26.0% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 13.9% · 1-0 9.1% · 0-0 9.0% · 2-1 8.5% · 0-1 8.1%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Wrexham
- Both teams scored in 5 of Wrexham's last 6 home league games.
Preston
- Preston are winless in their last 4 league games (D1 L3).
- Preston have conceded in each of their last 24 league games.
- 5 of Preston's last 6 away league games produced over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Preston's last 6 away league games.
Players in form
- A. Patterson has made 25 saves in 9 league games this season.
- K. Moore has scored 3 goals in 9 league games this season.
- J. Ekomié has scored 2 goals in 7 league games this season.
- D. Iversen has made 26 saves in 9 league games this season.
- C. Lang has scored 3 goals in 9 league games this season.
- J. Kenny has scored 2 goals in 3 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Wrexham
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | D | 1-1 | Derby (A) | 1.3 - 0.6 |
| 19 Sep | W | 2-1 | Southampton (H) | 0.5 - 2.1 |
| 11 Sep | L | 0-6 | West Ham (A) | 0.4 - 3.0 |
| 08 Sep | D | 1-1 | Burnley (H) | 1.3 - 1.5 |
| 05 Sep | D | 0-0 | Swansea (A) | 0.7 - 0.7 |
| 02 Sep | W | 3-0 | Millwall (A) | 0.9 - 0.2 |
Recent form — Preston
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | L | 0-1 | Millwall (H) | 0.7 - 1.1 |
| 19 Sep | D | 2-2 | QPR (A) | 1.5 - 2.5 |
| 12 Sep | L | 0-1 | Lincoln (H) | 0.6 - 0.7 |
| 08 Sep | L | 1-2 | Watford (A) | 2.4 - 1.3 |
| 05 Sep | W | 2-1 | Blackburn (H) | 2.2 - 1.1 |
| 01 Sep | L | 1-3 | Bristol City (H) | 1.9 - 1.8 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Wrexham
-0.24
xG diff/game · 0.99 for, 1.22 against
Preston
+0.07
xG diff/game · 1.29 for, 1.21 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wrexham | Championship | 2026/27 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 1.0 | 7–11 | LDDWL |
| Preston | Championship | 2026/27 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 0.429 | 6–13 | LLWLL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wrexham | home | Championship | 2026/27 | 0-2-1 | 1.0 / 1.3 | 0 |
| Preston | away | Championship | 2026/27 | 0-0-3 | 0.7 / 1.7 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 3 meetings: Wrexham 2 wins, 1 draws, Preston 0 wins — 3.33 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec 25 | Wrexham | 2-1 | Preston |
| 06 Dec 25 | Preston | 1-1 | Wrexham |