Fixture · Ligue 1 · Sun 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 BST
Angers
v Marseille
The model's read
Angers
39%
match result
Draw
27%
match result
Marseille
35%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Angers or draw | 65.3% |
| Double chance Marseille or draw | 61.3% |
| Double chance either team | 73.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.0% |
| Both teams to score | 61.2% |
| Angers over 1.5 team goals | 45.6% |
| Marseille over 1.5 team goals | 42.5% |
| Angers clean sheet | 23.5% |
| Marseille clean sheet | 21.4% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 12.4% · 2-1 8.7% · 1-2 8.1% · 1-0 6.6% · 2-2 6.3%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — Marseille: another match 3d before (2026-10-15).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Marseille
- Only 1 of Marseille's last 6 away league games produced over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams have not scored in any of Marseille's last 6 away league games.
- Marseille have scored just 3 goals across their last 6 away league games.
Players in form
- Anthony Lopes has made 30 saves in 6 league games this season.
- P. Peter has scored 2 goals in 6 league games this season.
- A. El Ouazzani has 1 goal and 2 assists in 6 league games this season.
- J. de Lange has made 26 saves in 6 league games this season.
- A. Gouiri has scored 4 goals in 6 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Angers
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | L | 1-5 | Stade Brestois 29 (A) | 1.4 - 3.8 |
| 19 Sep | W | 2-0 | Estac Troyes (H) | 2.2 - 1.0 |
| 12 Sep | D | 0-0 | Le Havre (A) | 0.6 - 1.3 |
| 06 Sep | L | 1-2 | Rennes (H) | 1.7 - 1.5 |
| 29 Aug | W | 3-1 | Auxerre (A) | 1.6 - 1.3 |
| 23 Aug | L | 0-2 | Lille (H) | 1.3 - 1.0 |
Recent form — Marseille
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | W | 2-0 | Estac Troyes (A) | 0.5 - 1.2 |
| 20 Sep | L | 1-2 | Paris Saint Germain (H) | — |
| 17 Sep | L | 1-4 | Beşiktaş (A) | — |
| 11 Sep | L | 0-1 | Rennes (A) | 1.3 - 1.9 |
| 06 Sep | L | 2-3 | Paris FC (H) | 1.4 - 3.3 |
| 30 Aug | L | 0-2 | Monaco (A) | 1.2 - 1.5 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Angers
-0.17
xG diff/game · 1.49 for, 1.66 against
Marseille
-0.35
xG diff/game · 1.26 for, 1.61 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 1.167 | 7–10 | LWDLW |
| Marseille | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 0.6 | 7–8 | LLLLW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers | home | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 0-0-2 | 0.5 / 2.0 | 0 |
| Marseille | away | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 0-0-2 | 0.0 / 1.5 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Angers 1 wins, 3 draws, Marseille 6 wins — 3.7 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 26 | Angers | 2-5 | Marseille |
| 29 Oct 25 | Marseille | 2-2 | Angers |