Fixture · Bundesliga · Sun 18 Oct 2026, 16:30 BST
Borussia Mönchengladbach
v 1899 Hoffenheim
The model's read
Borussia Mönchengladbach
39%
match result
Draw
26%
match result
1899 Hoffenheim
35%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw | 64.5% |
| Double chance 1899 Hoffenheim or draw | 61.0% |
| Double chance either team | 74.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39.4% |
| Both teams to score | 64.4% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach over 1.5 team goals | 48.5% |
| 1899 Hoffenheim over 1.5 team goals | 45.9% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach clean sheet | 21.2% |
| 1899 Hoffenheim clean sheet | 19.6% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 11.5% · 2-1 8.6% · 1-2 8.1% · 2-2 6.6% · 1-0 5.7%
Model readiness. Borussia Mönchengladbach has played 5 league games this season, 1899 Hoffenheim 6 league games. Until 6, a club's rating still leans on last season's data, so read early-season calls with a raised eyebrow — it is the model's most documented weakness (the fix) and it is split out on the record.
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — 1899 Hoffenheim: another match 3d before (2026-10-15).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Borussia Mönchengladbach have lost their last 5 league games.
- Borussia Mönchengladbach have averaged 2.3 goals a game across their last 6 home league games.
1899 Hoffenheim
- Both teams have scored in each of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 5 league games.
- 6 of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 6 away league games produced over 2.5 goals.
- 1899 Hoffenheim have conceded in each of their last 6 league games.
Players in form
- M. Nicolas has made 27 saves in 5 league games this season.
- H. Bolin has scored 2 goals in 5 league games this season.
- J. Scally has scored 2 goals in 5 league games this season.
- A. Daghim has scored 2 goals in 5 league games this season.
- A. Hložek has scored 2 goals in 5 league games this season.
- B. Conté has 1 goal and 2 assists in 5 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Borussia Mönchengladbach
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | L | 1-2 | 1. FC Köln (A) | 1.2 - 1.4 |
| 19 Sep | L | 3-4 | FSV Mainz 05 (H) | 3.2 - 2.8 |
| 12 Sep | L | 0-5 | SC Freiburg (A) | 0.2 - 2.6 |
| 05 Sep | L | 3-4 | SV Elversberg (H) | 2.4 - 2.3 |
| 29 Aug | L | 0-3 | RB Leipzig (A) | 1.1 - 4.0 |
| 16 May | W | 4-0 | 1899 Hoffenheim (H) | 1.2 - 1.6 |
Recent form — 1899 Hoffenheim
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | L | 2-3 | Hamburger SV (H) | 1.1 - 1.3 |
| 20 Sep | L | 1-3 | SC Paderborn 07 (A) | 1.5 - 0.7 |
| 17 Sep | L | 0-2 | OFI (A) | — |
| 12 Sep | W | 2-1 | VfB Stuttgart (H) | 2.8 - 2.2 |
| 05 Sep | L | 2-3 | Borussia Dortmund (H) | 1.2 - 2.0 |
| 29 Aug | L | 2-3 | 1. FC Köln (A) | 1.9 - 1.9 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Borussia Mönchengladbach
-1.00
xG diff/game · 1.61 for, 2.61 against
1899 Hoffenheim
+0.06
xG diff/game · 1.68 for, 1.62 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 6–16 | LLLL |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 0.6 | 9–13 | LLWLL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | home | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 0-0-1 | 3.0 / 4.0 | 0 |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | away | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 0-0-1 | 2.0 / 3.0 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Borussia Mönchengladbach 6 wins, 2 draws, 1899 Hoffenheim 2 wins — 4.8 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May 26 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4-0 | 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 14 Jan 26 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 5-1 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |