Fixture · Serie A · Sun 18 Oct 2026, 19:45 BST
Juventus
v Lazio
The model's read
Juventus
52%
match result
Draw
28%
match result
Lazio
20%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Juventus or draw | 80.1% |
| Double chance Lazio or draw | 47.7% |
| Double chance either team | 72.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23.1% |
| Both teams to score | 47.5% |
| Juventus over 1.5 team goals | 46.4% |
| Lazio over 1.5 team goals | 22.0% |
| Juventus clean sheet | 41.5% |
| Lazio clean sheet | 20.9% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 13.1% · 1-0 12.4% · 2-0 10.6% · 0-0 9.8% · 2-1 9.4%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — Juventus: another match 3d before (2026-10-15).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Juventus
- Only 0 of Juventus's last 6 home league games produced over 2.5 goals.
Lazio
- Lazio are unbeaten in their last 7 league games (W6 D1).
- Lazio have won 5 of their last 6 away league games.
Players in form
- Bremer has scored 2 goals in 6 league games this season.
- E. Zhegrova has scored 2 goals in 5 league games this season.
- G. Vicario has made 10 saves in 6 league games this season.
- C. Mandas has made 26 saves in 6 league games this season.
- D. Frattesi has scored 3 goals in 6 league games this season.
- T. Noslin has scored 2 goals in 6 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Juventus
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | D | 1-1 | Cagliari (A) | 1.9 - 0.5 |
| 20 Sep | W | 2-0 | Atalanta (H) | 1.3 - 0.6 |
| 17 Sep | W | 5-0 | NEC Nijmegen (H) | — |
| 13 Sep | L | 2-3 | Sassuolo (A) | 1.0 - 0.7 |
| 06 Sep | D | 1-1 | AC Milan (H) | 1.6 - 0.1 |
| 29 Aug | W | 2-0 | Parma (H) | 1.7 - 0.2 |
Recent form — Lazio
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | W | 3-1 | Monza (H) | 1.6 - 1.9 |
| 19 Sep | W | 2-0 | Venezia (A) | 1.6 - 1.9 |
| 12 Sep | D | 2-2 | AC Milan (H) | 2.0 - 1.1 |
| 07 Sep | W | 2-1 | Udinese (A) | 1.8 - 0.8 |
| 30 Aug | W | 1-0 | Genoa (H) | 1.6 - 0.6 |
| 24 Aug | W | 1-0 | Bologna (A) | 0.6 - 1.7 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Juventus
+1.16
xG diff/game · 1.57 for, 0.41 against
Lazio
+0.20
xG diff/game · 1.53 for, 1.33 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | Serie A | 2026/27 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 2.0 | 8–4 | WLDWW |
| Lazio | Serie A | 2026/27 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 2.6 | 8–3 | WDWWW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | home | Serie A | 2026/27 | 1-1-0 | 1.5 / 0.5 | 1 |
| Lazio | away | Serie A | 2026/27 | 2-0-0 | 1.5 / 0.5 | 1 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Juventus 4 wins, 2 draws, Lazio 4 wins — 2.2 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb 26 | Juventus | 2-2 | Lazio |
| 26 Oct 25 | Lazio | 1-0 | Juventus |