Fixture · Ligue 1 · Sun 18 Oct 2026, 16:15 BST
Le Havre
v Auxerre
The model's read
Le Havre
51%
match result
Draw
26%
match result
Auxerre
23%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Le Havre or draw | 76.9% |
| Double chance Auxerre or draw | 48.8% |
| Double chance either team | 74.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.7% |
| Both teams to score | 57.0% |
| Le Havre over 1.5 team goals | 52.6% |
| Auxerre over 1.5 team goals | 31.0% |
| Le Havre clean sheet | 32.5% |
| Auxerre clean sheet | 17.2% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 12.2% · 2-1 9.7% · 1-0 8.7% · 2-0 8.7% · 0-0 6.7%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Le Havre
- Le Havre are winless in their last 6 league games (D2 L4).
- Le Havre have not won any of their last 6 home league games (D3 L3).
Auxerre
- 5 of Auxerre's last 6 away league games produced over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Auxerre's last 6 away league games.
Players in form
- L. Mpasi has made 17 saves in 3 league games this season.
- M. Samatta has scored 2 goals in 6 league games this season.
- M. Diop has made 24 saves in 6 league games this season.
- C. Archer has scored 4 goals in 4 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Le Havre
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | L | 0-1 | Lille (A) | 1.4 - 1.3 |
| 19 Sep | L | 2-3 | Toulouse (A) | 2.3 - 1.9 |
| 12 Sep | D | 0-0 | Angers (H) | 1.3 - 0.6 |
| 05 Sep | L | 1-2 | Stade Brestois 29 (H) | 2.0 - 2.4 |
| 29 Aug | D | 1-1 | Lyon (A) | 0.7 - 1.6 |
| 23 Aug | L | 0-1 | Monaco (H) | 0.6 - 1.4 |
Recent form — Auxerre
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | L | 1-4 | Rennes (A) | 1.5 - 2.0 |
| 20 Sep | W | 2-1 | Stade Brestois 29 (H) | 1.0 - 0.3 |
| 12 Sep | W | 1-0 | Nice (H) | 1.7 - 1.1 |
| 04 Sep | L | 1-3 | Lyon (A) | 0.7 - 2.9 |
| 29 Aug | L | 1-3 | Angers (H) | 1.3 - 1.6 |
| 22 Aug | L | 2-5 | Lens (A) | 1.8 - 4.5 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Le Havre
-0.15
xG diff/game · 1.38 for, 1.53 against
Auxerre
-0.72
xG diff/game · 1.33 for, 2.06 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 0.333 | 4–8 | LLDLD |
| Auxerre | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 1.2 | 7–12 | WWLLL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre | home | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 0-1-2 | 0.3 / 1.0 | 1 |
| Auxerre | away | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 0-0-2 | 1.5 / 4.0 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Le Havre 5 wins, 3 draws, Auxerre 2 wins — 2.5 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr 26 | Le Havre | 1-1 | Auxerre |
| 26 Oct 25 | Auxerre | 0-1 | Le Havre |