Fixture · Ligue 1 · Sun 18 Oct 2026, 16:15 BST
Paris FC
v Rennes
The model's read
Paris FC
55%
match result
Draw
24%
match result
Rennes
21%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Paris FC or draw | 78.9% |
| Double chance Rennes or draw | 44.8% |
| Double chance either team | 76.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.3% |
| Both teams to score | 60.1% |
| Paris FC over 1.5 team goals | 58.7% |
| Rennes over 1.5 team goals | 32.3% |
| Paris FC clean sheet | 31.3% |
| Rennes clean sheet | 13.9% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 11.0% · 2-1 9.8% · 2-0 8.5% · 1-0 7.6% · 3-1 6.5%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — Rennes: another match 3d before (2026-10-15).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Rennes
- 6 of Rennes's last 6 away league games produced over 2.5 goals.
- Rennes have averaged 2.0 goals a game across their last 6 away league games.
Players in form
- L. Sinayoko has scored 4 goals in 6 league games this season.
- K. Trapp has made 13 saves in 6 league games this season.
- E. Lepaul has scored 4 goals in 6 league games this season.
- B. Samba has made 19 saves in 5 league games this season.
- A. Thomasson has scored 2 goals in 6 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Paris FC
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | L | 0-1 | Lorient (A) | 0.7 - 0.5 |
| 19 Sep | W | 2-1 | Strasbourg (H) | 1.1 - 0.2 |
| 12 Sep | D | 0-0 | Lyon (H) | 0.3 - 0.5 |
| 06 Sep | W | 3-2 | Marseille (A) | 3.3 - 1.4 |
| 30 Aug | W | 3-0 | Nice (H) | 2.7 - 0.6 |
| 22 Aug | D | 0-0 | Estac Troyes (A) | 0.8 - 0.4 |
Recent form — Rennes
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | W | 4-1 | Auxerre (H) | 2.0 - 1.5 |
| 19 Sep | L | 0-4 | Lyon (A) | 1.4 - 3.1 |
| 16 Sep | D | 0-0 | Sturm Graz (A) | 1.8 - 0.7 |
| 11 Sep | W | 1-0 | Marseille (H) | 1.9 - 1.3 |
| 06 Sep | W | 2-1 | Angers (A) | 1.5 - 1.7 |
| 30 Aug | W | 3-2 | Le Mans (H) | 2.7 - 3.0 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Paris FC
+0.88
xG diff/game · 1.48 for, 0.61 against
Rennes
-0.34
xG diff/game · 1.69 for, 2.03 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris FC | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 1.833 | 8–4 | LWDWW |
| Rennes | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 2.0 | 8–9 | LWWWD |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris FC | home | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 1-1-0 | 1.5 / 0.0 | 2 |
| Rennes | away | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 1-0-0 | 2.0 / 1.0 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 2 meetings: Paris FC 0 wins, 0 draws, Rennes 2 wins — 2.0 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May 26 | Rennes | 2-1 | Paris FC |
| 07 Nov 25 | Paris FC | 0-1 | Rennes |