Fixture · La Liga · Mon 19 Oct 2026, 20:00 BST
Getafe
v Rayo Vallecano
The model's read
Getafe
33%
match result
Draw
32%
match result
Rayo Vallecano
34%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Getafe or draw | 65.8% |
| Double chance Rayo Vallecano or draw | 66.6% |
| Double chance either team | 67.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16.7% |
| Both teams to score | 44.3% |
| Getafe over 1.5 team goals | 28.5% |
| Rayo Vallecano over 1.5 team goals | 29.1% |
| Getafe clean sheet | 34.2% |
| Rayo Vallecano clean sheet | 34.8% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 14.8% · 0-0 13.2% · 0-1 11.4% · 1-0 11.2% · 1-2 7.2%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Getafe
- Only 1 of Getafe's last 6 home league games produced over 2.5 goals.
Rayo Vallecano
- Both teams have scored in each of Rayo Vallecano's last 8 league games.
- Rayo Vallecano have conceded in each of their last 8 league games.
- Both teams scored in 6 of Rayo Vallecano's last 6 away league games.
Players in form
- David Soria has made 28 saves in 8 league games this season.
- Sergio Camello has scored 7 goals in 7 league games this season.
- Álvaro García has scored 2 goals in 7 league games this season.
- Unai López has 0 goals and 3 assists in 7 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Getafe
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | L | 0-3 | Barcelona (A) | 0.1 - 2.0 |
| 20 Sep | W | 1-0 | Malaga (H) | 0.9 - 0.5 |
| 17 Sep | L | 0-1 | Real Betis (A) | 0.3 - 1.9 |
| 13 Sep | D | 1-1 | Deportivo La Coruna (H) | 0.8 - 0.9 |
| 07 Sep | D | 1-1 | Celta Vigo (H) | 0.7 - 1.0 |
| 31 Aug | L | 0-1 | Osasuna (A) | 0.7 - 1.7 |
Recent form — Rayo Vallecano
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | D | 1-1 | Osasuna (A) | 1.0 - 0.5 |
| 15 Sep | W | 2-1 | Espanyol (H) | 1.5 - 1.5 |
| 12 Sep | L | 1-4 | Real Madrid (A) | 1.2 - 2.6 |
| 05 Sep | W | 3-2 | Racing Santander (H) | 1.6 - 0.5 |
| 31 Aug | L | 2-5 | Barcelona (A) | 1.1 - 2.8 |
| 20 Aug | D | 1-1 | Alaves (H) | 0.4 - 1.8 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Getafe
-0.74
xG diff/game · 0.61 for, 1.35 against
Rayo Vallecano
-0.46
xG diff/game · 1.26 for, 1.72 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe | La Liga | 2026/27 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 1.0 | 4–10 | LWLDD |
| Rayo Vallecano | La Liga | 2026/27 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 1.143 | 11–16 | DWLWL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe | home | La Liga | 2026/27 | 1-1-0 | 1.0 / 0.5 | 1 |
| Rayo Vallecano | away | La Liga | 2026/27 | 0-0-3 | 1.3 / 3.7 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Getafe 0 wins, 6 draws, Rayo Vallecano 4 wins — 1.2 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May 26 | Getafe | 0-2 | Rayo Vallecano |
| 02 Jan 26 | Rayo Vallecano | 1-1 | Getafe |