Fixture · Serie A · Mon 19 Oct 2026, 19:45 BST
Parma
v Torino
The model's read
Parma
27%
match result
Draw
31%
match result
Torino
43%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Parma or draw | 57.3% |
| Double chance Torino or draw | 73.5% |
| Double chance either team | 69.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19.3% |
| Both teams to score | 46.3% |
| Parma over 1.5 team goals | 25.2% |
| Torino over 1.5 team goals | 37.1% |
| Parma clean sheet | 27.4% |
| Torino clean sheet | 38.0% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 14.3% · 0-1 12.2% · 0-0 11.7% · 1-0 8.8% · 0-2 8.7%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Parma
- Parma have conceded in each of their last 6 league games.
Torino
- Torino have conceded in each of their last 11 league games.
Players in form
- E. Corvi has made 24 saves in 6 league games this season.
- D. Romero has scored 2 goals in 6 league games this season.
- C. Adams has scored 2 goals in 4 league games this season.
- S. Kulenović has scored 2 goals in 6 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Parma
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | L | 0-3 | Inter (A) | 0.4 - 2.4 |
| 20 Sep | W | 2-1 | Genoa (H) | 0.3 - 0.8 |
| 14 Sep | L | 1-2 | Como (A) | 1.2 - 3.2 |
| 06 Sep | D | 1-1 | Monza (H) | 0.7 - 1.7 |
| 29 Aug | L | 0-2 | Juventus (A) | 0.2 - 1.7 |
| 22 Aug | L | 0-1 | Cagliari (H) | 0.8 - 0.7 |
Recent form — Torino
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct | W | 2-1 | Udinese (H) | 2.5 - 0.7 |
| 19 Sep | D | 1-1 | Bologna (A) | 0.8 - 0.6 |
| 14 Sep | L | 0-2 | AS Roma (H) | 0.8 - 1.9 |
| 05 Sep | W | 2-1 | Fiorentina (A) | 0.6 - 1.7 |
| 29 Aug | L | 1-2 | Sassuolo (A) | 1.3 - 1.9 |
| 23 Aug | L | 1-2 | AC Milan (H) | 0.9 - 1.6 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Parma
-1.16
xG diff/game · 0.60 for, 1.76 against
Torino
-0.25
xG diff/game · 1.13 for, 1.38 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | Serie A | 2026/27 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 0.667 | 4–10 | LWLDL |
| Torino | Serie A | 2026/27 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 0.8 | 5–8 | DLWLL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | home | Serie A | 2026/27 | 0-1-1 | 0.5 / 1.0 | 0 |
| Torino | away | Serie A | 2026/27 | 1-0-1 | 1.5 / 1.5 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Parma 3 wins, 4 draws, Torino 3 wins — 2.6 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar 26 | Torino | 4-1 | Parma |
| 29 Sep 25 | Parma | 2-1 | Torino |