FootballEdgeSeason 2026/27Self-updating record
Fixture · Championship · Tue 20 Oct 2026, 19:45 BST

Wolves
v Portsmouth

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The model's read

Wolves
49%
match result
Draw
28%
match result
Portsmouth
24%
match result
MarketModel probability
Double chance Wolves or draw76.2%
Double chance Portsmouth or draw51.4%
Double chance either team72.4%
Over 1.5 goals74.8%
Over 2.5 goals48.5%
Over 3.5 goals26.7%
Both teams to score52.5%
Wolves over 1.5 team goals46.7%
Portsmouth over 1.5 team goals27.9%
Wolves clean sheet35.4%
Portsmouth clean sheet20.7%

Most likely scorelines: 1-1 13.2% · 1-0 10.3% · 2-1 9.4% · 2-0 9.1% · 0-0 8.5%

Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.

Availability and rotation

No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.

Rotation risk — Wolves: another match 3d after (2026-10-24).

Rotation risk — Portsmouth: another match 3d after (2026-10-24).

Hot stats & streaks

Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.

Players in form

  • Fer López has scored 4 goals in 9 league games this season.
  • José Sá has made 20 saves in 9 league games this season.
  • R. Jiménez has scored 3 goals in 6 league games this season.
  • Z. Swanson has scored 2 goals in 9 league games this season.
  • E. Adams has scored 2 goals in 9 league games this season.
  • A. Segecic has scored 2 goals in 9 league games this season.

This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.

Recent form — Wolves

DateRScoreOpponentxG for-against
13 OctL1-3Bolton (H)2.3 - 1.6
10 OctL0-1Middlesbrough (A)0.6 - 1.0
20 SepW1-0West Brom (H)1.9 - 0.3
13 SepW1-0Sheffield Utd (A)1.6 - 0.6
06 SepD2-2Birmingham (A)1.9 - 1.4
01 SepL2-4West Ham (A)0.9 - 2.0

Recent form — Portsmouth

DateRScoreOpponentxG for-against
14 OctW3-2Sheffield Utd (H)2.2 - 2.0
11 OctL0-1Southampton (A)0.8 - 1.4
19 SepD2-2Blackburn (H)1.6 - 0.6
12 SepD0-0Charlton (A)0.4 - 0.8
05 SepW2-0Cardiff (H)2.1 - 1.4
01 SepL0-2Derby (H)0.8 - 0.6

Chance quality, most recent season

Wolves
+0.64
xG diff/game · 1.62 for, 0.98 against
Portsmouth
+0.05
xG diff/game · 1.33 for, 1.27 against

Where they stand

TeamLeagueSeason PosP PtsPPGGoals Form
WolvesChampionship2026/2799141.55616–14LLWWD
PortsmouthChampionship2026/2720881.09–11LDDWL

The table as it stands this season.

Home and away

TeamVenueLeagueSeason W-D-L Goals for / against per gameClean sheets
WolveshomeChampionship2026/271-1-03.0 / 1.50
PortsmouthawayChampionship2026/271-1-11.3 / 1.01

This season’s home and away splits.

Head to head

No meetings on record.