Dunkerque 1–1 Metz
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 1–1; by chance quality the match ran 1.60–1.48.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 1.6–1.5, shots 15–17 with 5–9 on target. Metz got into the box far more often (13 shots inside it to 9). A 1–1 draw the numbers agree with.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Dunkerque 4-2-3-1
- 2 O. Touré (D)
- 6 J. Morel (M)
- 9 G. Robail (F)
- 10 A. Lebeau (M)
- 11 E. Prutsev (M)
- 18 Théna Massock (M)
- 19 S. Keita (M)
- 26 Opa Sanganté (D)
- 27 A. Linguet (D)
- 30 Abner (D)
- 73 Moha Airam (G)
Bench: L. Loussilaho, K. Ayari, Franck Atoen, M. Makhloufi, V. Mayela, E. Mayilla, A. Nade, S. Nzonzi, M. Prévot
Metz 3-1-4-2
- 1 J. Fischer (G)
- 3 F. Miguel (D)
- 4 U. Mboula (D)
- 8 J. Deminguet (M)
- 9 G. Abuashvili (M)
- 10 T. Savanier (M)
- 11 P. Fall (F)
- 33 Abdourahmane Mbodj (F)
- 42 C. Devenish (D)
- 70 B. Sarr (M)
- 98 I. Mohamed (M)
Bench: Tahirys Dos Santos, M. Colin, A. Agne Ba, N. Mbala, B. Munongo, Ibou Sané, B. Song, P. Sy, A. Touré
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Dunkerque or draw | 1.58 | 59.6% | -1.2 pts |
| Double chance Metz or draw | 1.42 | 66.3% | +0.5 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.27 | 74.1% | +0.7 pts |
| Draw no bet — Dunkerque | 2.04 | 45.6% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw no bet — Metz | 1.71 | 54.4% | +1.0 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 79.3% | +1.8 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.63 | 57.7% | +2.0 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.54 | 36.7% | +1.9 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.51 | 61.4% | +1.7 pts |
| Dunkerque over 1.5 team goals | 2.18 | 42.8% | +1.3 pts |
| Metz over 1.5 team goals | 1.98 | 47.2% | +2.0 pts |
| Dunkerque clean sheet | 4.00 | 23.4% | +0.0 pts |
| Metz clean sheet | 3.75 | 25.0% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.94 · 1-2 8.98 · 2-1 9.83 · 0-1 10.07 · 2-2 11.04
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-10-23 17:31 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).