Nancy 1–0 Laval
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 1–0; by chance quality the match ran 0.88–1.26.
The brain read
The xG read 0.9–1.3 in Laval's favour, but the shot count told the opposite story — 12–6 overall and 2–3 on target went Nancy's way. The two pictures disagree, and aggregate counts can't see the quality of individual chances — so this reads closer than either number alone suggests. Nancy got into the box far more often (6 shots inside it to 3).
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Nancy 4-2-3-1
- 1 E. Basilio (G)
- 4 N. Fernandez-Veliz (D)
- 5 P. Meïssa Ba (F)
- 8 W. Bouabdelli (M)
- 9 I. Housni (M)
- 12 El Hadari (M)
- 21 E. Mendy (D)
- 25 J. Gélin (M)
- 44 E. Tacafred (D)
- 70 N. Kandil (M)
- 77 Y. Nahounou (D)
Bench: I. Cisse, C. El Hansar, Z. Fdaouch, Mamadou Fofana II, K. Kebe, G. Lembet, L. Ndenbe, N. Obougoujacquet, N. Saint-Ruf
Laval 4-3-1-2
- 1 M. Hautbois (G)
- 3 W. Bianda (D)
- 6 S. Sanna (M)
- 7 Chafik Gourichy (M)
- 8 T. Bouriaud (M)
- 11 T. Dago (F)
- 20 E. Clavreul (F)
- 23 E. Mouton (D)
- 24 S. Bane (D)
- 31 M. Houdayer (M)
- 35 Layousse Samb (D)
Bench: A. Moussaoui, C. Mandouki, A. Lô, O. Konate, A. Kanté, J. Gaudin, L. Droyaux, Alessio Beaudouin, M. Sidibe
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Nancy or draw | 1.16 | 80.7% | +1.1 pts |
| Double chance Laval or draw | 2.21 | 42.4% | -2.0 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.22 | 76.9% | +0.9 pts |
| Draw no bet — Nancy | 1.24 | 75.3% | +1.7 pts |
| Draw no bet — Laval | 3.77 | 24.7% | -1.7 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 76.2% | +0.5 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 53.8% | +0.7 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.86 | 32.7% | +0.4 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.76 | 52.8% | -0.6 pts |
| Nancy over 1.5 team goals | 1.66 | 56.2% | +1.4 pts |
| Laval over 1.5 team goals | 3.55 | 26.3% | -1.1 pts |
| Nancy clean sheet | 2.38 | 39.1% | +0.0 pts |
| Laval clean sheet | 5.50 | 17.2% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-0 7.11 · 1-1 7.30 · 2-1 7.74 · 2-0 7.89 · 0-0 11.89
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-10-23 17:31 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).