Cordoba 2–0 Eibar
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 2–0; by chance quality the match ran 2.56–1.68.
The brain read
Cordoba created the better chances — the xG read 2.6–1.7 and the shot count agreed (23–14, 11–4 on target). Cordoba got into the box far more often (18 shots inside it to 11). Eibar's finishing let them down — 0 from 1.7 xG despite 4 of 14 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). On the balance of chances, the 2–0 reads fair.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Cordoba 4-3-3
- 1 Iker Álvarez (G)
- 3 Dani Tasende (D)
- 4 Álex Martín (D)
- 5 Juan Gutiérrez (D)
- 8 Isma Ruiz (M)
- 9 Percan (F)
- 11 Diego Bri (F)
- 14 Adnane Ghailan (M)
- 23 Cristian Carracedo (F)
- 28 Eder García (M)
- 30 Daniel Budesca (D)
Bench: Guilherme Fernandes, Egoitz Muñoz, Carlos Albarrán, Rubén Alves, Nélson Monte, T. Zidane, Enol Rodríguez, Ibai Sanz, S. El Jebari, V. Sanchez, D. Caceres
Eibar 4-2-3-1
- 2 Sergio Cubero (D)
- 3 Imanol García de Albéniz (D)
- 5 Peru Nolaskoain (D)
- 8 Ander Madariaga (M)
- 11 Jon Magunazelaia (M)
- 13 Jon Mikel (G)
- 15 Jair Amador (D)
- 17 Pejiño (M)
- 20 Javi Martón (F)
- 27 Elijah Gift Izobodo John (M)
- 30 Aleix Garrido (M)
Bench: Jon Bautista, Jon Guruzeta, Iván Gil, Olaetxea, Eric Pérez, Álvaro Rodríguez, Oier Llorente, Luis López, Lucas Nuñez, Haritz Ortuzar, M. Arana
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Cordoba or draw | 1.32 | 71.2% | +2.2 pts |
| Double chance Eibar or draw | 1.70 | 55.3% | -2.2 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.28 | 73.5% | +0.0 pts |
| Draw no bet — Cordoba | 1.55 | 60.3% | +3.0 pts |
| Draw no bet — Eibar | 2.35 | 39.7% | -3.0 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 80.0% | +0.2 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 58.8% | +0.1 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.48 | 38.1% | -0.2 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.49 | 62.2% | +0.4 pts |
| Cordoba over 1.5 team goals | 1.79 | 52.1% | +2.1 pts |
| Eibar over 1.5 team goals | 2.38 | 39.3% | -2.0 pts |
| Cordoba clean sheet | 3.50 | 26.8% | -0.9 pts |
| Eibar clean sheet | 4.50 | 20.8% | -0.9 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.64 · 2-1 8.14 · 1-0 9.39 · 2-2 10.43 · 1-2 10.61
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-10-24 11:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May 26 | Eibar | 2-0 | Cordoba |
| 13 Dec 25 | Cordoba | 0-0 | Eibar |