Coventry 0–1 Fulham
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 0–1; by chance quality the match ran 0.58–0.61.
What the model expected
Its probabilities for this match, logged before kick-off and never changed. The result is highlighted.
The model made Fulham to win its most likely call before kick-off, and that is what happened. It had the result at 39% beforehand.
One match tells you nothing on its own — whether these percentages are any good is the whole point of the calibration page, where every one of them is scored.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 0.6–0.6, shots 13–12 with 2–3 on target. Fulham held 64% of the ball. On chances created the game was tighter than the 0–1 suggests.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Coventry or draw | 1.64 | 57.8% | -1.4 pts |
| Double chance Fulham or draw | 1.36 | 69.3% | +1.5 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.30 | 72.9% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — Coventry | 2.19 | 42.5% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw no bet — Fulham | 1.62 | 57.5% | +1.8 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 77.2% | +0.0 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 54.3% | -0.6 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.80 | 33.7% | -0.2 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.59 | 58.6% | +0.0 pts |
| Coventry over 1.5 team goals | 2.47 | 38.0% | -1.4 pts |
| Fulham over 1.5 team goals | 2.01 | 46.7% | +1.2 pts |
| Coventry clean sheet | 4.33 | 21.7% | +0.0 pts |
| Fulham clean sheet | 3.40 | 27.7% | +0.9 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.58 · 1-2 8.65 · 0-1 9.12 · 2-1 10.50 · 1-0 11.14
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-10-24 13:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).