Dijon 1–2 Rodez
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 1–2; by chance quality the match ran 1.59–1.52.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 1.6–1.5, shots 18–16 with 6–6 on target. Dijon held 72% of the ball. On chances created the game was tighter than the 1–2 suggests.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Dijon 4-1-3-2
- 5 Q. Bernard (D)
- 6 W. Diouf (D)
- 10 Y. Barka (F)
- 14 J. Marié (M)
- 16 P. Delecroix (G)
- 17 A. Lembezat (M)
- 18 B. Ndezi (M)
- 21 Samy Chouchane (M)
- 23 L. Lacroix (D)
- 75 Boubacar Diallo (D)
- 90 A. Lago (F)
Bench: H. Vargas-Ríos, I. Bouleghcha, P. Bellon, Y. Aka, T. Dong, M. Faty, Ilan Marie-Rose, A. Ntamack, Júlio Tavares
Rodez 5-3-2
- 1 Q. Braat (G)
- 3 R. Lipinski (D)
- 4 M. Magnin (D)
- 8 D. Pavlović (M)
- 9 N. Nsingi (F)
- 20 R. Ponti (D)
- 21 K. Nsona (M)
- 22 O. Joly (M)
- 24 L. Quenabio (D)
- 28 S. Luyambula Biwa (D)
- 29 Antonin Cartillier (F)
Bench: C. Roubiou, E. Jean-Lambert, L. Margueron, J. Mendes, K. Nagera, M. Saka, M. Sylla, M. Essimi Ateba, M. Touho
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Dijon or draw | 1.31 | 71.4% | +1.0 pts |
| Double chance Rodez or draw | 1.77 | 52.9% | -1.0 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.24 | 75.7% | -0.0 pts |
| Draw no bet — Dijon | 1.50 | 61.7% | +1.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — Rodez | 2.42 | 38.3% | -1.1 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 80.9% | -0.4 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.54 | 60.7% | -0.5 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.39 | 39.4% | -0.9 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.49 | 62.2% | +0.1 pts |
| Dijon over 1.5 team goals | 1.73 | 53.9% | +0.3 pts |
| Rodez over 1.5 team goals | 2.37 | 39.4% | -0.9 pts |
| Dijon clean sheet | 3.40 | 27.7% | +0.0 pts |
| Rodez clean sheet | 4.50 | 20.8% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 7.41 · 2-1 8.46 · 1-0 10.07 · 1-2 10.96 · 2-0 11.54
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-10-24 11:32 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).