Albacete 2–0 Eldense
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 2–0; by chance quality the match ran 1.06–0.94.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 1.1–0.9, shots 19–10 with 4–1 on target. Albacete got into the box far more often (14 shots inside it to 9) and Eldense held 63% of the ball. Albacete's finishing ran hot — 2 from 1.1 xG, 4 of 19 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). On chances created the game was tighter than the 2–0 suggests.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Albacete 4-1-4-1
- 2 Lorenzo Aguado (D)
- 6 Antonio Pacheco (M)
- 11 Víctor Valverde (M)
- 12 Higinio Marín (F)
- 13 Diego Mariño (G)
- 14 San Bartolomé (M)
- 17 José Corpas (M)
- 18 Sergio Ortu (M)
- 21 Carlos Neva (D)
- 22 Lluís López (D)
- 24 Vallejo (D)
Bench: Carlos Marín, Agus Medina, Alex Rubio, Mario Soberón, A. Velilla, Javi Villar, Róber, Jota Domingo, D. Bernabeu, A. Albarracín
Eldense 4-4-2
- 1 Ramón Vila (G)
- 3 Juan Larios (D)
- 4 F. Smand (D)
- 5 Alex Serradell (D)
- 7 Jorge Rastrojo (F)
- 10 Fidel (M)
- 14 J. Smith (M)
- 15 Carlos Guirao (M)
- 17 Jesús Clemente (D)
- 24 Javi Martínez (F)
- 33 Aingeru Olabarrieta (M)
Bench: Marcos Bustillo, M. Carmona, A. Ibarrondo, Jordi Martín, Manu Nieto, J. Olaizola, Juanpa, Dinis Rodrigues, Iker Recio, J. Yanda
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Albacete or draw | 1.36 | 69.3% | -0.4 pts |
| Double chance Eldense or draw | 1.62 | 58.0% | +0.3 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.29 | 72.7% | +0.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — Albacete | 1.63 | 57.1% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — Eldense | 2.17 | 42.9% | +0.1 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 77.1% | +0.5 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.73 | 54.6% | +0.4 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.78 | 33.7% | +0.3 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.57 | 58.9% | +0.6 pts |
| Albacete over 1.5 team goals | 2.02 | 46.2% | -0.8 pts |
| Eldense over 1.5 team goals | 2.40 | 38.9% | +0.8 pts |
| Albacete clean sheet | 3.40 | 27.7% | +0.0 pts |
| Eldense clean sheet | 4.33 | 21.7% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.19 · 2-1 8.39 · 1-0 8.62 · 1-2 9.86 · 0-1 10.14
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-10-25 15:05 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).