Angers 0–0 Lorient
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 0–0; by chance quality the match ran 0.36–0.60.
What the model expected
Its probabilities for this match, logged before kick-off and never changed. The result is highlighted.
Before kick-off the model favoured Lorient to win (43%); it finished with the draw. A miss — it gave the actual result 27% beforehand.
One match tells you nothing on its own — whether these percentages are any good is the whole point of the calibration page, where every one of them is scored.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 0.4–0.6, shots 8–10 with 5–1 on target. Lorient got into the box far more often (8 shots inside it to 4). A 0–0 draw the numbers agree with.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Angers 4-2-3-1
- 1 Anthony Lopes (G)
- 2 C. Arcus (D)
- 4 O. Camara (D)
- 8 B. van den Boomen (M)
- 9 P. Peter (M)
- 10 A. Sbaï (M)
- 14 Y. Belkhdim (M)
- 17 J. Kalulu (D)
- 19 A. El Ouazzani (F)
- 21 J. Lefort (D)
- 27 L. Rao-Lisoa (M)
Bench: H. Belkebla, A. Bermont, Djibirin Harouna, M. Gernigon, Marius Louër, U. Simbakoli, L. Mouton, J. Allevinah, M. Zinga
Lorient 3-4-2-1
- 3 M. Talbi (D)
- 8 N. Cadiou (M)
- 17 J. Makengo (M)
- 18 I. Baldé (F)
- 19 S. Faye (M)
- 20 D. Sylla (M)
- 32 N. Adjei (D)
- 38 Y. Mvogo (G)
- 43 K. Kouassi (M)
- 62 A. Avom (M)
- 95 S. Touré (D)
Bench: N. Obaretin, T. Le Bris, S. Kuzmić, M. Kone, B. Kamara, A. Georgen, G. Bernardeau, A. Tosin, I. Jensen
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Angers or draw | 1.55 | 60.7% | -0.1 pts |
| Double chance Lorient or draw | 1.38 | 68.2% | +0.0 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.33 | 71.0% | +0.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — Angers | 2.09 | 44.5% | -0.0 pts |
| Draw no bet — Lorient | 1.68 | 55.5% | +0.0 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 71.4% | +0.3 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.02 | 47.3% | -0.1 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.42 | 27.5% | -0.2 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.75 | 53.4% | +0.4 pts |
| Angers over 1.5 team goals | 2.75 | 34.1% | +0.1 pts |
| Lorient over 1.5 team goals | 2.32 | 40.4% | +0.3 pts |
| Angers clean sheet | 3.50 | 26.8% | +1.8 pts |
| Lorient clean sheet | 3.00 | 31.2% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.88 · 0-1 7.64 · 1-0 8.78 · 0-0 8.81 · 1-2 8.98
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-10-25 16:05 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb 26 | Lorient | 2-0 | Angers |
| 26 Oct 25 | Angers | 2-0 | Lorient |