DC United 0–2 FC Cincinnati

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What the chances were worth

The scoreline says 0–2; by chance quality the match ran 0.40–0.99.

The brain read

The xG read 0.4–1 in FC Cincinnati's favour, but the shot count told the opposite story — 13–9 overall and 2–3 on target went DC United's way. The two pictures disagree, and aggregate counts can't see the quality of individual chances — so this reads closer than either number alone suggests. FC Cincinnati's finishing ran hot — 2 from 1 xG, 3 of 9 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement).

A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.

The match in numbers

As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.

Head to head