FootballEdgeSeason 2026/27Self-updating record
Full time · Ligue 2 · Mon 26 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC

Boulogne 1–1 Reims

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What the chances were worth

Boulogne
1.14
expected goals (xG)
Reims
0.39
expected goals (xG)

The scoreline says 1–1; by chance quality the match ran 1.14–0.39.

The brain read

Boulogne created the better chances — the xG read 1.1–0.4 and the shot count agreed (13–7, 3–2 on target). Boulogne got into the box far more often (9 shots inside it to 3) and Reims held 65% of the ball. A draw on the scoreboard, but on chances created Boulogne shaded the game.

A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.

The match in numbers

Boulogne
Reims
35%
Ball Possession
65%
13
Total Shots
7
3
Shots on Goal
2
7
Shots off Goal
2
3
Blocked Shots
3
9
Shots inside box
3
4
Shots outside box
4
1.14
Expected goals (xG)
0.39
5
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
5
268
Total passes
515
186
Passes accurate
421
20
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
10
Free Kicks
20

As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.

Confirmed line-ups

Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.

Boulogne 3-1-4-2

  1. 8 J. Martin (M)
  2. 10 A. Hbouch (F)
  3. 11 N. Fatar (M)
  4. 12 J. Boyer (M)
  5. 15 A. Pinot (D)
  6. 19 N. Binet (M)
  7. 20 T. Brusco (D)
  8. 22 S. Duflos (M)
  9. 25 A. Kerriou (D)
  10. 64 T. Epailly (F)
  11. 99 Blondy Rudolph Nna Noukeu (G)

Bench: B. Besic, X. Lenogue, M. Mion, Z. Moco, Jonathan Kapenga, Sohan Paillard, M. Soumah, D. Thiam

Reims 4-4-2

  1. 1 T. Hülsmann (G)
  2. 6 T. Leoni (M)
  3. 8 Y. Fofana (F)
  4. 9 M. Daramy (M)
  5. 10 Y. El Kachati (F)
  6. 21 J. Mambuku (D)
  7. 22 S. Kotto (D)
  8. 27 D. Guindo (D)
  9. 28 N. Ahouonon (D)
  10. 46 seydou dembele (M)
  11. 61 C. Kouranfal (M)

Bench: A. Zohouri, S. Soumano, John Otomewo, E. Omeragic, A. Gadou, J. Patrick, T. Diarrassouba, T. Deflorenne, Sergio Akieme

The market’s read

Boulogne
26%
market implied · price 3.52 · opened 30%
Draw
29%
market implied · price 3.22 · opened 29%
Reims
45%
market implied · price 2.07 · opened 40%
MarketConsensus priceImplied chanceMove
Double chance Boulogne or draw1.7254.5%-5.3 pts
Double chance Reims or draw1.2774.0%+4.3 pts
Double chance either team1.3171.6%+1.0 pts
Draw no bet — Boulogne2.5137.1%-6.2 pts
Draw no bet — Reims1.4862.9%+6.2 pts
Over 1.5 goals1.3370.1%+0.9 pts
Over 2.5 goals2.0845.4%+0.9 pts
Over 3.5 goals3.7325.1%+0.3 pts
Both teams to score1.8251.0%+0.0 pts
Boulogne over 1.5 team goals3.2628.6%-3.3 pts
Reims over 1.5 team goals2.1842.8%+4.1 pts
Boulogne clean sheet3.7525.0%-1.8 pts
Reims clean sheet2.6235.5%+0.0 pts

Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.01 · 0-1 6.63 · 1-2 8.54 · 0-0 8.55 · 1-0 9.19

Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.

How to read this table

Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-10-26 19:35 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).

Prices are observations, not offers. Each price is the average across the bookmakers the collector sees, and the implied chance is that price with the bookmaker’s margin stripped out. The market’s read is published so the model’s read can be judged against it — nothing here is advice, and nothing here is staked.