FC Andorra 2–3 Burgos
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 2–3; by chance quality the match ran 1.70–1.56.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 1.7–1.6, shots 20–13 with 11–7 on target. FC Andorra held 73% of the ball. Burgos's finishing ran hot — 3 from 1.6 xG, 7 of 13 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). On chances created the game was tighter than the 2–3 suggests.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
FC Andorra 4-3-3
- 3 L. Spatz (D)
- 5 Marc Bombardó (D)
- 8 E. Akman (M)
- 11 L. de León (F)
- 14 Sergio Molina (M)
- 15 Jordi Cano (F)
- 16 R. Schneider (M)
- 17 T. Carrique (D)
- 20 Martí Vilà (D)
- 21 Moró Sidibe (F)
- 25 Jesús Owono (G)
Bench: Hugo Solozábal, Hugo López, S. Golubovic, D. Diaz, Álex Calvo, T. Olmedo, Nacho Quintana, N. Ratti, Julian Dean Rijkhoff, Juan Serrano
Burgos 4-4-2
- 2 Álex (M)
- 4 P. Galdames (M)
- 7 Jon Karrikaburu (F)
- 8 Grego (D)
- 12 Unai Vencedor (M)
- 13 Ander Cantero (G)
- 15 Oier Luengo (D)
- 16 Curro Sánchez (F)
- 19 Javi Llabrés (M)
- 22 Brais Martínez (D)
- 23 Alberto Dadie (D)
Bench: Fermin Garcia, Sergio González, José Gragera, Saúl del Cerro, Ignasi Vilarrasa, Irian Ribas, Víctor Mollejo, I. Martinez, Bruno Iribarne, David Hernáiz García, Mario Cantero, Álex Forés
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance FC Andorra or draw | 1.28 | 73.3% |
| Double chance Burgos or draw | 1.73 | 54.3% |
| Double chance either team | 1.29 | 72.4% |
| Draw no bet — FC Andorra | 1.48 | 62.9% |
| Draw no bet — Burgos | 2.51 | 37.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 71.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 47.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.47 | 27.1% |
| Both teams to score | 1.77 | 52.2% |
| FC Andorra over 1.5 team goals | 2.10 | 44.6% |
| Burgos over 1.5 team goals | 3.04 | 30.6% |
| FC Andorra clean sheet | 2.62 | 35.5% |
| Burgos clean sheet | 3.75 | 25.0% |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.98 · 1-0 6.70 · 2-1 8.08 · 2-0 9.25 · 0-0 9.28
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-10-26 19:25 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off.
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May 26 | Burgos | 1-0 | FC Andorra |
| 31 Aug 25 | FC Andorra | 2-1 | Burgos |