Laval 1–0 Boulogne
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 1–0; by chance quality the match ran 1.02–0.54.
The brain read
Laval created the better chances — the xG read 1–0.5, with the shot count roughly even (10–9, 2–2 on target). Laval held 62% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the 1–0 reads fair.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Laval 4-3-1-2
- 1 M. Hautbois (G)
- 3 W. Bianda (D)
- 6 S. Sanna (M)
- 8 T. Bouriaud (M)
- 11 T. Dago (F)
- 21 Alessio Beaudouin (D)
- 23 E. Mouton (D)
- 28 A. Kanté (F)
- 29 M. Sidibe (M)
- 31 M. Houdayer (M)
- 35 Layousse Samb (D)
Bench: A. Lô, Chafik Gourichy, J. Gaudin, E. Clavreul, J. Maggiotti, C. Mandouki, S. Mellier, A. Moussaoui, M. Samassa
Boulogne 5-3-2
- 8 J. Martin (M)
- 10 A. Hbouch (F)
- 11 N. Fatar (D)
- 12 J. Boyer (D)
- 15 A. Pinot (D)
- 18 D. Thiam (D)
- 19 N. Binet (M)
- 22 S. Duflos (M)
- 25 A. Kerriou (D)
- 64 T. Epailly (F)
- 99 Blondy Rudolph Nna Noukeu (G)
Bench: A. Platret, B. Besic, J. Bultel, M. Lecolier, X. Lenogue, M. Mion, Z. Moco, Jonathan Kapenga, Sohan Paillard
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Laval or draw | 1.39 | 67.3% | +0.5 pts |
| Double chance Boulogne or draw | 1.49 | 62.8% | +0.5 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.34 | 69.9% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw no bet — Laval | 1.77 | 52.7% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — Boulogne | 1.97 | 47.3% | +0.1 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.39 | 66.9% | -2.7 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.24 | 42.3% | -2.9 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.20 | 22.2% | -3.0 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.91 | 48.7% | -2.6 pts |
| Laval over 1.5 team goals | 2.63 | 35.5% | -2.1 pts |
| Boulogne over 1.5 team goals | 2.88 | 32.2% | -2.2 pts |
| Laval clean sheet | 2.75 | 33.7% | +2.5 pts |
| Boulogne clean sheet | 3.25 | 29.0% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.88 · 1-0 6.93 · 0-1 7.54 · 0-0 7.72 · 2-1 9.64
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-10-30 18:56 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).