Nantes 1–1 Clermont Foot
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 1–1; by chance quality the match ran 0.77–0.33.
The brain read
Nantes created the better chances — the xG read 0.8–0.3 and the shot count agreed (10–3, 5–1 on target). Nantes got into the box far more often (6 shots inside it to 1). A draw on the scoreboard, but on chances created Nantes shaded the game.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Nantes 5-3-2
- 4 S. Sow (D)
- 8 J. Lepenant (M)
- 12 K. Corredor (F)
- 18 F. Centonze (D)
- 23 W. Younoussa (M)
- 24 F. Guilbert (D)
- 26 R. Hachem (D)
- 30 P. Carlgren (G)
- 37 I. Ganago (F)
- 44 B. Pierret (M)
- 98 K. Amian (D)
Bench: M. Dupé, F. Doucouré, M. Cafaro, A. Joujou, Louis Leroux, Loan Merrifield, L. Perrin, T. Robinet, I. Sissoko
Clermont Foot 4-3-3
- 4 E. Kabeya (D)
- 7 F. Bianchini (F)
- 9 Luís Semedo (F)
- 10 J. Sambia (M)
- 12 V. N'Simba (D)
- 21 Y. Salmier (D)
- 26 R. Kouamé (M)
- 28 I. M'Bahia (M)
- 30 T. Guivarch (G)
- 77 E. Cantero (F)
- 93 I. Coulibaly (D)
Bench: A. Pelmard, A. Ackra, Marouane Admar, O. Diop, M. Douane, J. Grillot, A. Hunou, E. Koné, M. Ndiaye
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Nantes or draw | 1.09 | 85.6% | +0.5 pts |
| Double chance Clermont Foot or draw | 2.63 | 35.6% | -0.7 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.19 | 78.8% | +0.2 pts |
| Draw no bet — Nantes | 1.13 | 82.2% | +1.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — Clermont Foot | 5.23 | 17.8% | -1.1 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 75.1% | -0.4 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.82 | 52.0% | -0.9 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.03 | 30.8% | -1.3 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.95 | 47.6% | -1.2 pts |
| Nantes over 1.5 team goals | 1.59 | 58.8% | +0.1 pts |
| Clermont Foot over 1.5 team goals | 4.47 | 20.8% | -0.7 pts |
| Nantes clean sheet | 2.00 | 46.4% | +0.0 pts |
| Clermont Foot clean sheet | 6.50 | 14.6% | -1.1 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-0 6.25 · 2-0 6.56 · 2-1 7.93 · 1-1 7.95 · 3-0 9.79
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-10-30 18:55 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).