Albacete 2–1 Sabadell
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 2–1; by chance quality the match ran 0.42–1.67.
The brain read
Sabadell created the better chances — the xG read 0.4–1.7 and the shot count agreed (5–25, 2–5 on target). Sabadell got into the box far more often (24 shots inside it to 4). Albacete's finishing ran hot — 2 from 0.4 xG, 2 of 5 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). The 2–1 flatters Albacete — on chances created, Sabadell shaded it.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Albacete 4-1-4-1
- 2 Lorenzo Aguado (D)
- 6 Antonio Pacheco (M)
- 11 Víctor Valverde (M)
- 12 Higinio Marín (F)
- 13 Diego Mariño (G)
- 14 San Bartolomé (M)
- 17 José Corpas (M)
- 18 Sergio Ortu (M)
- 21 Carlos Neva (D)
- 22 Lluís López (D)
- 24 Vallejo (D)
Bench: Alex Rubio, D. Bernabeu, A. Albarracín, Jota Domingo, Róber, Carlos Marín, Agus Medina, Antonio David, Mario Soberón, A. Velilla, Javi Villar
Sabadell 4-4-2
- 1 Diego Fuoli (G)
- 5 Arthur Bonaldo (D)
- 7 Ton Ripoll (D)
- 10 Ángel Baena (M)
- 12 Gastón Valles (F)
- 14 Óscar Sanz (D)
- 19 Y. Rahmani (F)
- 20 Urri (M)
- 22 Q. Liameed (M)
- 23 J. Priego (M)
- 27 José Luis Català (D)
Bench: Eneko Aguilar, Genar Fornés, Kaiser Lázaro, Javi López, Y. Owusu, N. Obolskiy, J. Ortega, Pere Pons, Alain Ribeiro, Joaquim Utgés Almeda, Marc Vidal
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Albacete or draw | 1.32 | 70.5% | +4.9 pts |
| Double chance Sabadell or draw | 1.56 | 59.7% | -4.3 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.34 | 69.8% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw no bet — Albacete | 1.64 | 57.2% | +6.7 pts |
| Draw no bet — Sabadell | 2.19 | 42.8% | -6.7 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.39 | 67.3% | -1.3 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.22 | 42.5% | -1.7 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.07 | 23.1% | -1.8 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.88 | 49.3% | -1.6 pts |
| Albacete over 1.5 team goals | 2.43 | 38.4% | +2.7 pts |
| Sabadell over 1.5 team goals | 3.17 | 29.4% | -5.9 pts |
| Albacete clean sheet | 2.62 | 35.5% | +4.3 pts |
| Sabadell clean sheet | 3.40 | 27.7% | -6.1 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.65 · 1-0 6.41 · 0-0 7.31 · 0-1 7.59 · 2-1 8.82
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-10-31 19:55 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).