Celta de Vigo II 2–2 Cordoba
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 2–2; by chance quality the match ran 1.84–0.85.
The brain read
Celta de Vigo II created the better chances — the xG read 1.8–0.8 and the shot count agreed (17–11, 7–5 on target). Cordoba's finishing ran hot — 2 from 0.8 xG, 5 of 11 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). A draw on the scoreboard, but on chances created Celta de Vigo II shaded the game.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Celta de Vigo II 3-4-3
- 1 Coke Carrillo (G)
- 2 P. Gavian (M)
- 3 K. Ribes (D)
- 4 S. M. Ndiaye (D)
- 9 A. Marin (F)
- 10 O. Marcos (F)
- 11 Ángel Arcos (M)
- 15 A. Kibet (F)
- 16 Adrià Capdevila (M)
- 18 Joel López (D)
- 29 M. Sobral (M)
Bench: Vladimir Henrique Silva, M. Gonzalez, A. Davila Outerelo, Caio Barone, Stefan Bajčetić
Cordoba 4-3-3
- 1 Iker Álvarez (G)
- 3 Dani Tasende (D)
- 4 Álex Martín (D)
- 5 Juan Gutiérrez (D)
- 8 Isma Ruiz (M)
- 9 Percan (F)
- 11 Diego Bri (F)
- 14 Adnane Ghailan (M)
- 23 Cristian Carracedo (F)
- 28 Eder García (M)
- 30 Daniel Budesca (D)
Bench: Rubén Alves, T. Zidane, S. El Jebari, D. Caceres, Carlos Albarrán, Nélson Monte, Egoitz Muñoz, Enol Rodríguez, Ibai Sanz, Guilherme Fernandes, V. Sanchez
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Celta de Vigo II or draw | 1.96 | 47.9% | -5.6 pts |
| Double chance Cordoba or draw | 1.24 | 75.2% | +4.2 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.22 | 76.9% | +1.4 pts |
| Draw no bet — Celta de Vigo II | 2.92 | 31.9% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw no bet — Cordoba | 1.36 | 68.1% | +7.3 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 83.5% | -0.1 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.46 | 64.0% | -0.6 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.19 | 43.1% | -1.1 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.45 | 63.7% | -1.8 pts |
| Celta de Vigo II over 1.5 team goals | 2.46 | 38.1% | -5.3 pts |
| Cordoba over 1.5 team goals | 1.56 | 59.7% | +3.5 pts |
| Celta de Vigo II clean sheet | 6.50 | 14.6% | -1.1 pts |
| Cordoba clean sheet | 3.25 | 29.0% | +4.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 7.68 · 1-2 8.01 · 0-1 10.07 · 0-2 10.72 · 2-2 10.92
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-10-31 17:25 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).