Charlotte 4–0 Orlando City SC
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 4–0; by chance quality the match ran 2.34–0.90.
The brain read
The xG read 2.3–0.9 in Charlotte's favour, but the shot count told the opposite story — 16–15 overall and 6–8 on target went Orlando City SC's way. The two pictures disagree, and aggregate counts can't see the quality of individual chances — so this reads closer than either number alone suggests. Charlotte's finishing ran hot — 4 from 2.3 xG, 6 of 16 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement).
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.