Eibar 1–1 Almeria
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 1–1; by chance quality the match ran 1.06–1.34.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 1.1–1.3, shots 20–13 with 4–3 on target. A 1–1 draw the numbers agree with.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Eibar 4-2-3-1
- 5 Peru Nolaskoain (D)
- 7 Malcom Adu (M)
- 8 Ander Madariaga (M)
- 9 Jon Bautista (F)
- 10 Jon Guruzeta (M)
- 13 Jon Mikel (G)
- 21 Iván Gil (M)
- 22 Álvaro Rodríguez (D)
- 23 Anaitz Arbilla (D)
- 24 Juan Bernat (D)
- 30 Aleix Garrido (M)
Bench: Jair Amador, Pejiño, Sergio Cubero, Imanol García de Albéniz, Luis López, Jon Magunazelaia, Javi Martón, Lucas Nuñez, Olaetxea, Eric Pérez, Sergio Álvarez, M. Arana
Almeria 4-2-3-1
- 1 Andrés Fernández (G)
- 2 Marcos Luna (D)
- 3 Álex Muñoz (D)
- 5 Jorge Pulido (D)
- 11 Sergio Arribas (M)
- 14 Javi Muñoz (D)
- 17 B. Cipenga (M)
- 18 F. Bonini (M)
- 24 Miguel de la Fuente (F)
- 29 S. Džodić (M)
- 33 Quim Junyent (M)
Bench: Adri Embarba, Gui, Chumi, Léo Baptistão, Thalys, Fernando Martínez, Jon Morcillo, Álex Sola, Mikel Vesga, Á. Yaakobishvili, Leonardo Lelo
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Eibar or draw | 1.49 | 62.6% | -4.0 pts |
| Double chance Almeria or draw | 1.44 | 64.7% | +3.6 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.29 | 72.7% | +0.4 pts |
| Draw no bet — Eibar | 1.92 | 48.6% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw no bet — Almeria | 1.81 | 51.4% | +5.4 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 77.3% | +2.1 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.73 | 54.6% | +2.2 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.74 | 34.3% | +2.4 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.56 | 59.4% | +2.2 pts |
| Eibar over 1.5 team goals | 2.21 | 42.2% | -1.2 pts |
| Almeria over 1.5 team goals | 2.15 | 43.6% | +4.4 pts |
| Eibar clean sheet | 3.75 | 25.0% | -2.7 pts |
| Almeria clean sheet | 3.75 | 25.0% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.17 · 1-2 9.00 · 2-1 9.05 · 0-1 9.21 · 1-0 9.49
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-10-31 15:05 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 26 | Eibar | 1-0 | Almeria |
| 01 Nov 25 | Almeria | 3-1 | Eibar |