Real Sociedad II 1–0 Girona
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 1–0; by chance quality the match ran 1.44–0.58.
The brain read
Real Sociedad II created the better chances — the xG read 1.4–0.6 and the shot count agreed (14–8, 5–3 on target). Real Sociedad II got into the box far more often (7 shots inside it to 4). On the balance of chances, the 1–0 reads fair.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Real Sociedad II 4-4-2
- 3 Jon Balda (D)
- 5 K. Kita (D)
- 6 A. Lebarbier (M)
- 7 Dani Díaz (M)
- 10 Arkaitz Mariezkurrena (F)
- 11 Alex Garcia (M)
- 14 Tomás Carbonell (M)
- 15 I. Calderon (D)
- 19 Javier Soroeta (F)
- 22 Rupérez (D)
- 32 Lander Olasagasti (G)
Bench: Unax Agote, Andrews Adjabeng, Ibai Aguirre, Lander Astiazarán, A. Unax, Gorka Carrera, Jon Eceizabarrena, T. Folgado, Jon Garro, Gorka Gorosabel, J. Oleaga, Sydney Osazuwa
Girona 4-4-2
- 3 Mateu Morey (D)
- 5 David López (D)
- 8 Fran Beltrán (M)
- 11 Álex Moreno (D)
- 13 P. Gazzaniga (G)
- 19 V. Vanat (F)
- 22 Y. Asprilla (M)
- 23 Carles Pérez (M)
- 24 I. Gonzalez (M)
- 30 Unai Hernández (F)
- 38 Holmes Zamorano (D)
Bench: L. Kourouma, V. Krapyvtsov, M. Furtado, Iván Morante, A. Mumin, Portu, Sergi Puig, Oleksandr Pishchur, Abel Ruiz, C. Stuani, D. van de Beek, Alejandro Francés
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Real Sociedad II or draw | 1.76 | 53.2% | -0.4 pts |
| Double chance Girona or draw | 1.30 | 72.2% | +0.6 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.26 | 74.6% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw no bet — Real Sociedad II | 2.49 | 37.3% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw no bet — Girona | 1.48 | 62.7% | +1.5 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 78.2% | -0.8 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.68 | 56.3% | -1.8 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.65 | 35.3% | -1.7 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.56 | 59.5% | -1.5 pts |
| Real Sociedad II over 1.5 team goals | 2.52 | 37.0% | -1.7 pts |
| Girona over 1.5 team goals | 1.83 | 50.8% | -1.1 pts |
| Real Sociedad II clean sheet | 5.00 | 19.0% | +0.0 pts |
| Girona clean sheet | 3.25 | 29.0% | +1.4 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.64 · 1-2 7.99 · 0-1 8.58 · 0-2 10.39 · 2-1 10.82
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-10-31 12:55 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).