Eldense 0–2 Granada CF
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 0–2; by chance quality the match ran 0.63–1.66.
The brain read
The xG read 0.6–1.7 in Granada CF's favour, but the shot count told the opposite story — 13–8 overall and 6–3 on target went Eldense's way. The two pictures disagree, and aggregate counts can't see the quality of individual chances — so this reads closer than either number alone suggests.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Eldense 4-4-2
- 1 Ramón Vila (G)
- 3 Juan Larios (D)
- 4 F. Smand (D)
- 5 Alex Serradell (D)
- 7 Jorge Rastrojo (F)
- 8 Marcos Bustillo (F)
- 10 Fidel (M)
- 15 Carlos Guirao (M)
- 17 Jesús Clemente (D)
- 24 Javi Martínez (M)
- 33 Aingeru Olabarrieta (M)
Bench: J. Olaizola, Manu Nieto, Jordi Martín, Roberto López, A. Ibarrondo, M. Carmona, Borja Calvo, Pau Cabanes, Juanpa, J. Yanda, Waldo Rubio, Iker Recio
Granada CF 4-3-3
- 1 Alberto Flores (G)
- 4 Rubén Alcaraz (M)
- 5 Manu Lama (D)
- 6 Gumbau (M)
- 7 Sergio Rodelas (F)
- 8 Pedro Alemañ (M)
- 10 Jorge Pascual (F)
- 16 Diego Pampín (D)
- 18 Sergio López (D)
- 27 M. Gambin (F)
- 30 Juan José Flores Castro (D)
Bench: B. Gimber, A. Garcia, B. Dembele, K. Bamba, Diego Hormigo, Raúl Lizoain, Alejandro Marqués, O. M. Chukwuemeka, Chinaza Onouha, D. Rodriguez
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Eldense or draw | 1.35 | 69.0% | -0.4 pts |
| Double chance Granada CF or draw | 1.59 | 58.9% | +0.6 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.30 | 72.1% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — Eldense | 1.66 | 56.3% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw no bet — Granada CF | 2.14 | 43.7% | +0.9 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 74.2% | +0.1 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.88 | 50.4% | -0.1 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.18 | 29.5% | -0.1 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.67 | 55.7% | +0.5 pts |
| Eldense over 1.5 team goals | 2.16 | 43.3% | -0.3 pts |
| Granada CF over 1.5 team goals | 2.58 | 36.1% | +0.0 pts |
| Eldense clean sheet | 3.25 | 29.0% | +0.0 pts |
| Granada CF clean sheet | 3.75 | 25.0% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.06 · 1-0 7.79 · 2-1 8.48 · 0-1 9.06 · 1-2 9.86
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-11-01 12:55 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).