Oviedo 2–3 Las Palmas
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 2–3; by chance quality the match ran 1.74–1.68.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 1.7–1.7, shots 22–10 with 7–5 on target. Oviedo got into the box far more often (12 shots inside it to 6). Las Palmas's finishing ran hot — 3 from 1.7 xG, 5 of 10 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). On chances created the game was tighter than the 2–3 suggests.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Oviedo 4-4-2
- 4 David Costas (D)
- 5 Y. Didi (M)
- 8 Mikel Goti (F)
- 13 Aarón Escandell (G)
- 15 S. Rodriguez (D)
- 16 Aritz Aldasoro (M)
- 18 V. Mingo (F)
- 20 Pablo Sáenz (M)
- 22 Nacho Vidal (D)
- 23 Carlos Domínguez (D)
- 32 Enzo Perez (M)
Bench: I. Chaira, Dani Calvo, Jacobo González, A. Ișfan, David Jiménez, D. Menendez, José Luis Morales, Estanis, Alberto Reina, Dani Villahermosa, Miguel Narváez, Juan Cruz
Las Palmas 4-4-2
- 4 Álex Suárez (D)
- 10 Jesé (F)
- 11 T. Miyashiro (M)
- 12 E. Loiodice (M)
- 13 José Caro (G)
- 14 Manu Fuster (F)
- 15 Juan Herzog (D)
- 20 Kirian Rodríguez (M)
- 23 A. Rodriguez (D)
- 24 Iván Jaime (M)
- 25 Valentín Pezzolesi (D)
Bench: A. Bassinga, Jefté Betancor, G. Bonfanti, Rafa Cruz, Ale García, N. Opoku, J. Recoba, Adrián Rodríguez del Rosario, Elías Romero, Adrián Suárez, Sergio Viera, Mateo Acimovic
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Oviedo or draw | 1.17 | 79.9% | +0.8 pts |
| Double chance Las Palmas or draw | 2.12 | 44.2% | -1.5 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.24 | 75.9% | +0.7 pts |
| Draw no bet — Oviedo | 1.25 | 74.2% | +2.2 pts |
| Draw no bet — Las Palmas | 3.60 | 25.8% | -2.2 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 74.5% | +1.6 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 51.2% | +2.1 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.12 | 30.1% | +1.4 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.79 | 51.7% | +0.7 pts |
| Oviedo over 1.5 team goals | 1.75 | 53.3% | +2.3 pts |
| Las Palmas over 1.5 team goals | 3.58 | 26.0% | -0.1 pts |
| Oviedo clean sheet | 2.38 | 39.1% | -2.0 pts |
| Las Palmas clean sheet | 5.00 | 19.0% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-0 6.49 · 1-1 6.75 · 2-1 7.55 · 2-0 7.56 · 0-0 10.73
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-11-02 15:05 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).