RED Star FC 93 1–4 Nancy
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 1–4; by chance quality the match ran 1.83–1.71.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 1.8–1.7, shots 11–12 with 2–6 on target. RED Star FC 93's finishing let them down — 1 from 1.8 xG despite 2 of 11 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). On chances created the game was tighter than the 1–4 suggests.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
RED Star FC 93 4-2-3-1
- 2 T. Magnin (D)
- 3 M. Huard (D)
- 4 E. Zidane (D)
- 6 B. Danger (D)
- 7 D. Durand (M)
- 10 S. Khaoui (M)
- 11 K. Cissé (M)
- 16 G. Poussin (G)
- 17 S. Renel (F)
- 19 I. Halifa (M)
- 27 G. Kyeremeh (M)
Bench: Leonardo Buta, K. Cabral, C. Bianay Balcot, Yanis Benchaouch Marty, I. Despotovic, Sekou Guindo, J. Ikanga A Ngele, Cheick Konate, Idrissa Sabaly
Nancy 4-2-3-1
- 1 E. Basilio (G)
- 4 N. Fernandez-Veliz (D)
- 5 P. Meïssa Ba (F)
- 7 Z. Fdaouch (M)
- 8 W. Bouabdelli (M)
- 9 I. Housni (M)
- 12 El Hadari (M)
- 21 E. Mendy (D)
- 25 J. Gélin (M)
- 44 E. Tacafred (D)
- 77 Y. Nahounou (D)
Bench: I. Cisse, C. El Hansar, Mamadou Fofana II, K. Kebe, G. Lembet, L. Ndenbe, N. Obougoujacquet, T. Baldé, N. Saint-Ruf
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance RED Star FC 93 or draw | 1.37 | 68.2% | -0.9 pts |
| Double chance Nancy or draw | 1.57 | 59.7% | +0.8 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.30 | 72.1% | +0.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — RED Star FC 93 | 1.66 | 56.0% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw no bet — Nancy | 2.11 | 44.0% | +0.9 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 72.7% | +0.7 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.94 | 48.5% | +0.6 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.35 | 27.9% | +0.5 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.71 | 54.2% | +0.9 pts |
| RED Star FC 93 over 1.5 team goals | 2.23 | 41.8% | +0.2 pts |
| Nancy over 1.5 team goals | 2.64 | 35.4% | +1.3 pts |
| RED Star FC 93 clean sheet | 3.00 | 31.2% | -2.5 pts |
| Nancy clean sheet | 3.75 | 25.0% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.12 · 1-0 7.66 · 2-1 8.79 · 0-1 9.14 · 0-0 10.07
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-11-02 19:35 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).