Fixture · Serie B · Fri 06 Nov 2026, 19:30 GMT
Ascoli
v Palermo
The model's read
Ascoli
42%
match result
Draw
25%
match result
Palermo
33%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Ascoli or draw | 67.3% |
| Double chance Palermo or draw | 58.2% |
| Double chance either team | 74.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39.2% |
| Both teams to score | 64.1% |
| Ascoli over 1.5 team goals | 50.5% |
| Palermo over 1.5 team goals | 43.6% |
| Ascoli clean sheet | 22.7% |
| Palermo clean sheet | 18.4% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 11.5% · 2-1 8.9% · 1-2 7.8% · 2-2 6.6% · 1-0 6.0%
Young rating. This league joined the model this season, so the numbers
above are built on a first season of data only — a small sample with no prior
seasons behind it. Read them with more caution than the established six leagues. No
picks are generated from young leagues; how well these reads age is scored in public,
separately, on the calibration page.
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Ascoli
- Ascoli are unbeaten in their last 6 league games (W3 D3).
- Only 1 of Ascoli's last 5 home league games produced over 2.5 goals.
Palermo
- Palermo are unbeaten in their last 11 league games (W9 D2).
- Palermo have averaged 2.2 goals a game across their last 6 away league games.
Recent form
Ascoli
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | D | 0-0 | Arezzo (A) | 0.6 - 0.9 |
| 27 Oct | W | 2-0 | Sampdoria (H) | 0.7 - 0.7 |
| 24 Oct | W | 6-1 | Catanzaro (A) | 3.8 - 1.8 |
| 17 Oct | D | 1-1 | Empoli (H) | 1.6 - 0.8 |
| 10 Oct | D | 0-0 | Sudtirol (A) | 0.7 - 1.2 |
| 19 Sep | W | 3-1 | Avellino (H) | 1.1 - 0.8 |
Palermo
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | W | 3-1 | Vicenza Virtus (H) | 2.8 - 1.2 |
| 28 Oct | D | 3-3 | Pisa (A) | 1.3 - 2.5 |
| 25 Oct | W | 2-1 | Carrarese (H) | 1.9 - 1.3 |
| 17 Oct | W | 2-0 | Mantova (A) | 2.0 - 1.8 |
| 10 Oct | W | 4-2 | Empoli (A) | 4.8 - 2.0 |
| 19 Sep | W | 2-1 | Padova (H) | 2.5 - 1.2 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Ascoli
+0.36
xG diff/game · 1.53 for, 1.17 against
Palermo
+0.43
xG diff/game · 2.03 for, 1.59 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascoli | Serie B | 2026/27 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 1.9 | 16–6 | DWWDD |
| Palermo | Serie B | 2026/27 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 2.6 | 24–12 | WDWWW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascoli | home | Serie B | 2026/27 | 3-2-0 | 1.6 / 0.6 | 2 |
| Palermo | away | Serie B | 2026/27 | 3-2-0 | 2.6 / 1.6 | 1 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 8 meetings: Ascoli 1 wins, 2 draws, Palermo 5 wins — 3.0 goals a game on average.
Match-by-match detail predates the fixtures this site tracks; the summary above comes from the head-to-head archive.