Fixture · Bundesliga · Fri 06 Nov 2026, 19:30 GMT
Hamburger SV
v Borussia Mönchengladbach
The model's read
Hamburger SV
41%
match result
Draw
27%
match result
Borussia Mönchengladbach
32%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Hamburger SV or draw | 67.7% |
| Double chance Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw | 59.3% |
| Double chance either team | 73.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.9% |
| Both teams to score | 59.4% |
| Hamburger SV over 1.5 team goals | 45.6% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach over 1.5 team goals | 39.1% |
| Hamburger SV clean sheet | 25.9% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach clean sheet | 21.4% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 12.7% · 2-1 8.9% · 1-2 7.8% · 1-0 7.4% · 0-0 6.7%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- 5 of Borussia Mönchengladbach's last 6 away league games produced over 2.5 goals.
Players in form
- Daniel Heuer Fernandes has made 34 saves in 8 league games this season.
- T. Moffi has scored 2 goals in 8 league games this season.
- Y. Poulsen has scored 2 goals in 7 league games this season.
- M. Nicolas has made 36 saves in 7 league games this season.
- J. Scally has scored 3 goals in 8 league games this season.
- H. Bolin has scored 2 goals in 7 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
Hamburger SV
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | L | 1-3 | Eintracht Frankfurt (A) | 1.1 - 2.0 |
| 24 Oct | L | 0-1 | SC Paderborn 07 (A) | 0.5 - 1.2 |
| 17 Oct | W | 1-0 | VfB Stuttgart (H) | 1.5 - 1.7 |
| 10 Oct | W | 3-2 | 1899 Hoffenheim (A) | 1.3 - 1.1 |
| 19 Sep | W | 2-1 | 1. FC Köln (H) | 1.4 - 1.4 |
| 13 Sep | L | 0-5 | RB Leipzig (A) | 1.1 - 2.4 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | D | 0-0 | SC Paderborn 07 (H) | 1.1 - 1.0 |
| 23 Oct | W | 3-2 | VfB Stuttgart (A) | 2.7 - 1.6 |
| 18 Oct | L | 1-2 | 1899 Hoffenheim (H) | 0.4 - 1.8 |
| 11 Oct | L | 1-2 | 1. FC Köln (A) | 1.2 - 1.4 |
| 19 Sep | L | 3-4 | FSV Mainz 05 (H) | 3.2 - 2.8 |
| 12 Sep | L | 0-5 | SC Freiburg (A) | 0.2 - 2.6 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Hamburger SV
-0.77
xG diff/game · 1.00 for, 1.77 against
Borussia Mönchengladbach
-0.67
xG diff/game · 1.53 for, 2.19 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 1.125 | 7–19 | LLWWW |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 0.5 | 11–22 | DWLLL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV | home | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 2-0-1 | 1.0 / 2.0 | 1 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | away | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 1-0-3 | 1.0 / 3.0 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Hamburger SV 4 wins, 4 draws, Borussia Mönchengladbach 2 wins — 2.3 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 26 | Hamburger SV | 0-0 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 24 Aug 25 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0-0 | Hamburger SV |