Fixture · Eredivisie · Fri 06 Nov 2026, 19:00 GMT
Willem II
v PEC Zwolle
The model's read
Willem II
30%
match result
Draw
25%
match result
PEC Zwolle
45%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Willem II or draw | 54.6% |
| Double chance PEC Zwolle or draw | 70.2% |
| Double chance either team | 75.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41.3% |
| Both teams to score | 65.1% |
| Willem II over 1.5 team goals | 42.5% |
| PEC Zwolle over 1.5 team goals | 54.3% |
| Willem II clean sheet | 16.2% |
| PEC Zwolle clean sheet | 23.5% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 11.0% · 1-2 9.1% · 2-1 7.3% · 2-2 6.6% · 0-2 6.3%
Young rating. This league joined the model this season, so the numbers
above are built on a first season of data only — a small sample with no prior
seasons behind it. Read them with more caution than the established six leagues. No
picks are generated from young leagues; how well these reads age is scored in public,
separately, on the calibration page.
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Willem II
- Willem II have lost their last 6 league games.
- Willem II are winless in their last 8 league games (D1 L7).
- Willem II have conceded in each of their last 8 league games.
PEC Zwolle
- PEC Zwolle are unbeaten in their last 3 league games (W2 D1).
Recent form
Willem II
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | L | 0-7 | PSV Eindhoven (A) | 1.3 - 2.6 |
| 24 Oct | L | 1-6 | Cambuur (H) | 1.1 - 1.9 |
| 17 Oct | L | 2-3 | Sparta Rotterdam (A) | 1.2 - 3.5 |
| 11 Oct | L | 1-3 | Utrecht (A) | 0.7 - 1.4 |
| 19 Sep | L | 0-1 | Fortuna Sittard (H) | 1.0 - 1.3 |
| 15 Sep | L | 1-5 | Ajax (A) | 1.6 - 3.8 |
PEC Zwolle
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | W | 1-0 | ADO Den Haag (H) | 1.5 - 0.5 |
| 24 Oct | D | 1-1 | Utrecht (A) | 0.9 - 1.7 |
| 18 Oct | W | 4-1 | GO Ahead Eagles (H) | 1.8 - 2.8 |
| 11 Oct | L | 0-1 | Cambuur (H) | 1.1 - 0.9 |
| 18 Sep | L | 0-3 | Groningen (A) | 0.4 - 1.4 |
| 13 Sep | L | 0-7 | Feyenoord (H) | 0.2 - 3.4 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Willem II
-1.25
xG diff/game · 1.08 for, 2.33 against
PEC Zwolle
-0.84
xG diff/game · 1.00 for, 1.83 against
Head to head
No meetings on record.