Fixture · Eredivisie · Sat 07 Nov 2026, 17:45 GMT
ADO Den Haag
v Sparta Rotterdam
The model's read
ADO Den Haag
31%
match result
Draw
23%
match result
Sparta Rotterdam
46%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance ADO Den Haag or draw | 53.7% |
| Double chance Sparta Rotterdam or draw | 69.3% |
| Double chance either team | 77.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 49.9% |
| Both teams to score | 70.8% |
| ADO Den Haag over 1.5 team goals | 48.7% |
| Sparta Rotterdam over 1.5 team goals | 60.2% |
| ADO Den Haag clean sheet | 13.2% |
| Sparta Rotterdam clean sheet | 19.4% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 9.3% · 1-2 8.6% · 2-2 7.1% · 2-1 7.0% · 1-3 5.8%
Young rating. This league joined the model this season, so the numbers
above are built on a first season of data only — a small sample with no prior
seasons behind it. Read them with more caution than the established six leagues. No
picks are generated from young leagues; how well these reads age is scored in public,
separately, on the calibration page.
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
ADO Den Haag
- ADO Den Haag have conceded in each of their last 7 league games.
Sparta Rotterdam
- Both teams have scored in each of Sparta Rotterdam's last 4 league games.
- Sparta Rotterdam have conceded in each of their last 7 league games.
Recent form
ADO Den Haag
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | L | 0-1 | PEC Zwolle (A) | 0.5 - 1.5 |
| 24 Oct | L | 2-3 | Heerenveen (H) | 2.9 - 2.5 |
| 17 Oct | W | 2-1 | PSV Eindhoven (H) | 1.4 - 1.2 |
| 11 Oct | D | 2-2 | Telstar (A) | 1.4 - 2.9 |
| 19 Sep | D | 1-1 | Cambuur (H) | 2.1 - 0.6 |
| 12 Sep | L | 0-2 | Twente (A) | 0.5 - 2.8 |
Sparta Rotterdam
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | W | 3-2 | Groningen (A) | 2.5 - 2.2 |
| 25 Oct | L | 1-2 | Ajax (H) | 0.9 - 1.4 |
| 17 Oct | W | 3-2 | Willem II (H) | 3.5 - 1.2 |
| 10 Oct | D | 3-3 | GO Ahead Eagles (A) | 2.0 - 1.3 |
| 19 Sep | L | 0-4 | Heerenveen (H) | 0.7 - 1.8 |
| 13 Sep | L | 1-4 | PSV Eindhoven (A) | 2.3 - 3.8 |
Chance quality, most recent season
ADO Den Haag
-0.39
xG diff/game · 1.34 for, 1.72 against
Sparta Rotterdam
+0.18
xG diff/game · 2.01 for, 1.83 against
Head to head
No meetings on record.