Fixture · Ligue 1 · Sat 07 Nov 2026, 16:15 GMT
Auxerre
v Paris FC
The model's read
Auxerre
20%
match result
Draw
25%
match result
Paris FC
55%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Auxerre or draw | 45.1% |
| Double chance Paris FC or draw | 80.3% |
| Double chance either team | 74.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.6% |
| Both teams to score | 53.7% |
| Auxerre over 1.5 team goals | 26.3% |
| Paris FC over 1.5 team goals | 53.5% |
| Auxerre clean sheet | 16.7% |
| Paris FC clean sheet | 36.9% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 12.1% · 0-1 9.9% · 0-2 9.9% · 1-2 9.8% · 0-0 7.2%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Auxerre
- Both teams have scored in each of Auxerre's last 5 league games.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Auxerre's last 6 home league games.
Players in form
- M. Diop has made 24 saves in 9 league games this season.
- C. Archer has scored 6 goals in 7 league games this season.
- D. Namaso has scored 3 goals in 9 league games this season.
- L. Sinayoko has 8 goals and 5 assists in 9 league games this season.
- K. Trapp has made 19 saves in 8 league games this season.
- P. Pagis has scored 2 goals in 9 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
Auxerre
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | L | 1-5 | Strasbourg (A) | 0.5 - 3.1 |
| 25 Oct | D | 1-1 | Le Mans (H) | 0.9 - 1.4 |
| 18 Oct | W | 3-1 | Le Havre (A) | 2.8 - 1.4 |
| 11 Oct | L | 1-4 | Rennes (A) | 1.5 - 2.0 |
| 20 Sep | W | 2-1 | Stade Brestois 29 (H) | 1.0 - 0.3 |
| 12 Sep | W | 1-0 | Nice (H) | 1.7 - 1.1 |
Paris FC
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | W | 3-1 | Monaco (H) | 2.1 - 0.8 |
| 24 Oct | L | 1-2 | Lens (A) | 0.4 - 0.9 |
| 18 Oct | W | 4-3 | Rennes (H) | 3.7 - 3.1 |
| 10 Oct | L | 0-1 | Lorient (A) | 0.7 - 0.5 |
| 19 Sep | W | 2-1 | Strasbourg (H) | 1.1 - 0.2 |
| 12 Sep | D | 0-0 | Lyon (H) | 0.3 - 0.5 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Auxerre
-0.68
xG diff/game · 1.36 for, 2.03 against
Paris FC
+0.74
xG diff/game · 1.68 for, 0.93 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auxerre | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 1.111 | 13–23 | LDWLW |
| Paris FC | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 1.889 | 16–10 | WLWLW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auxerre | home | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 2-1-1 | 1.3 / 1.3 | 1 |
| Paris FC | away | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 1-1-2 | 1.0 / 1.3 | 1 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 9 meetings: Auxerre 3 wins, 4 draws, Paris FC 2 wins — 1.78 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb 26 | Auxerre | 0-0 | Paris FC |
| 29 Nov 25 | Paris FC | 1-1 | Auxerre |