Fixture · Bundesliga · Sat 07 Nov 2026, 14:30 GMT
Borussia Dortmund
v SV Elversberg
The model's read
Borussia Dortmund
71%
match result
Draw
19%
match result
SV Elversberg
10%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Borussia Dortmund or draw | 89.6% |
| Double chance SV Elversberg or draw | 29.4% |
| Double chance either team | 81.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.6% |
| Both teams to score | 50.2% |
| Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 team goals | 67.2% |
| SV Elversberg over 1.5 team goals | 18.9% |
| Borussia Dortmund clean sheet | 45.2% |
| SV Elversberg clean sheet | 9.9% |
Most likely scorelines: 2-0 12.0% · 1-0 9.5% · 2-1 9.5% · 3-0 9.2% · 1-1 9.0%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — Borussia Dortmund: another match 3d before (2026-11-04).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Borussia Dortmund
- Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in their last 10 league games (W7 D3).
- Borussia Dortmund have won 5 of their last 6 home league games.
- Borussia Dortmund have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 home league games.
- Borussia Dortmund have averaged 2.5 goals a game across their last 6 home league games.
Players in form
- G. Kobel has made 20 saves in 8 league games this season.
- S. Guirassy has scored 3 goals in 8 league games this season.
- Fábio Silva has scored 3 goals in 8 league games this season.
- N. Kristof has made 22 saves in 8 league games this season.
- M. Krattenmacher has scored 4 goals in 8 league games this season.
- F. Keidel has scored 2 goals in 8 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
Borussia Dortmund
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | D | 2-2 | Bayern München (A) | 0.7 - 4.2 |
| 24 Oct | W | 1-0 | Eintracht Frankfurt (H) | 1.6 - 0.9 |
| 20 Oct | W | 2-1 | Sabah FA (A) | 3.7 - 1.5 |
| 17 Oct | D | 0-0 | Union Berlin (A) | 1.4 - 0.9 |
| 14 Oct | L | 0-1 | Bodo/Glimt (A) | 0.8 - 1.2 |
| 09 Oct | D | 2-2 | Werder Bremen (H) | 2.5 - 1.2 |
SV Elversberg
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct | W | 4-1 | FSV Mainz 05 (H) | 1.0 - 1.2 |
| 24 Oct | L | 0-4 | RB Leipzig (A) | 0.7 - 2.9 |
| 17 Oct | W | 4-3 | FC Augsburg (H) | 2.9 - 3.4 |
| 10 Oct | L | 0-1 | Union Berlin (A) | 0.3 - 1.6 |
| 20 Sep | D | 0-0 | FC Schalke 04 (A) | 1.0 - 1.0 |
| 13 Sep | L | 1-2 | Bayern München (H) | 0.9 - 2.8 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Borussia Dortmund
+0.28
xG diff/game · 1.60 for, 1.33 against
SV Elversberg
-0.85
xG diff/game · 1.30 for, 2.15 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 2.25 | 14–6 | DWDDW |
| SV Elversberg | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 1.625 | 16–16 | WLWLD |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | home | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 3-1-0 | 2.0 / 0.5 | 3 |
| SV Elversberg | away | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 1-1-2 | 1.0 / 2.0 | 1 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
No meetings on record.