Fixture · Eredivisie · Sat 07 Nov 2026, 20:00 GMT
Excelsior
v GO Ahead Eagles
The model's read
Excelsior
20%
match result
Draw
23%
match result
GO Ahead Eagles
57%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Excelsior or draw | 43.0% |
| Double chance GO Ahead Eagles or draw | 79.6% |
| Double chance either team | 77.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41.8% |
| Both teams to score | 62.2% |
| Excelsior over 1.5 team goals | 33.8% |
| GO Ahead Eagles over 1.5 team goals | 61.9% |
| Excelsior clean sheet | 12.3% |
| GO Ahead Eagles clean sheet | 30.1% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 10.3% · 1-2 9.8% · 0-2 8.1% · 0-1 6.8% · 1-3 6.8%
Young rating. This league joined the model this season, so the numbers
above are built on a first season of data only — a small sample with no prior
seasons behind it. Read them with more caution than the established six leagues. No
picks are generated from young leagues; how well these reads age is scored in public,
separately, on the calibration page.
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Excelsior
- Excelsior have lost their last 4 league games.
- Excelsior are winless in their last 7 league games (D2 L5).
- Excelsior have failed to score in their last 3 league games.
- Excelsior have conceded in each of their last 7 league games.
GO Ahead Eagles
- GO Ahead Eagles have conceded in each of their last 7 league games.
Recent form
Excelsior
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | L | 0-9 | Twente (H) | 0.0 - 6.3 |
| 25 Oct | L | 0-1 | Fortuna Sittard (A) | 0.4 - 0.5 |
| 16 Oct | L | 0-4 | Heerenveen (A) | 0.7 - 2.3 |
| 11 Oct | L | 1-5 | Groningen (H) | 1.8 - 2.5 |
| 19 Sep | D | 2-2 | Ajax (A) | 0.8 - 2.5 |
| 13 Sep | L | 1-2 | Utrecht (H) | 0.6 - 1.4 |
GO Ahead Eagles
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | L | 0-4 | Cambuur (A) | 0.7 - 1.6 |
| 23 Oct | W | 3-2 | Telstar (H) | 1.1 - 1.1 |
| 18 Oct | L | 1-4 | PEC Zwolle (A) | 2.8 - 1.8 |
| 10 Oct | D | 3-3 | Sparta Rotterdam (H) | 1.3 - 2.0 |
| 20 Sep | D | 1-1 | NEC Nijmegen (A) | 2.3 - 1.0 |
| 12 Sep | D | 1-1 | Groningen (H) | 2.2 - 0.2 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Excelsior
-1.24
xG diff/game · 0.97 for, 2.21 against
GO Ahead Eagles
+0.30
xG diff/game · 1.75 for, 1.45 against
Head to head
No meetings on record.