Fixture · 2. Bundesliga · Sat 07 Nov 2026, 19:30 GMT
Hertha BSC
v VfL Wolfsburg
The model's read
Hertha BSC
64%
match result
Draw
19%
match result
VfL Wolfsburg
16%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Hertha BSC or draw | 83.9% |
| Double chance VfL Wolfsburg or draw | 35.6% |
| Double chance either team | 80.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 49.8% |
| Both teams to score | 64.6% |
| Hertha BSC over 1.5 team goals | 70.6% |
| VfL Wolfsburg over 1.5 team goals | 33.6% |
| Hertha BSC clean sheet | 30.2% |
| VfL Wolfsburg clean sheet | 8.5% |
Most likely scorelines: 2-1 9.3% · 1-1 8.3% · 2-0 7.8% · 3-1 7.7% · 3-0 6.4%
Young rating. This league joined the model this season, so the numbers
above are built on a first season of data only — a small sample with no prior
seasons behind it. Read them with more caution than the established six leagues. No
picks are generated from young leagues; how well these reads age is scored in public,
separately, on the calibration page.
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Hertha BSC
- Hertha BSC are unbeaten in their last 14 league games (W12 D2).
- Hertha BSC have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 league games.
- Hertha BSC have won 5 of their last 6 home league games.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Hertha BSC's last 6 home league games.
VfL Wolfsburg
- VfL Wolfsburg are unbeaten in their last 5 league games (W3 D2).
- VfL Wolfsburg have averaged 2.2 goals a game across their last 5 away league games.
Players in form
- Josip Brekalo has scored 2 goals in 3 league games this season.
- Sebastian Grønning has scored 2 goals in 3 league games this season.
- Marten Winkler has 1 goal and 2 assists in 2 league games this season.
- F. Reese has scored 3 goals in 3 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
Hertha BSC
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | W | 3-0 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern (A) | 2.9 - 1.3 |
| 24 Oct | W | 1-0 | Arminia Bielefeld (H) | 2.0 - 0.4 |
| 16 Oct | D | 0-0 | Holstein Kiel (A) | 1.6 - 0.6 |
| 11 Oct | W | 2-1 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth (H) | 1.8 - 1.1 |
| 19 Sep | W | 2-1 | Dynamo Dresden (A) | 2.6 - 0.8 |
| 13 Sep | W | 3-1 | VfL Osnabrück (A) | 2.1 - 1.7 |
VfL Wolfsburg
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | W | 2-0 | VfL Osnabrück (H) | 2.0 - 1.2 |
| 23 Oct | D | 1-1 | VfL Bochum (A) | 0.8 - 1.6 |
| 17 Oct | W | 3-1 | 1. FC Heidenheim (H) | 1.7 - 2.0 |
| 10 Oct | D | 4-4 | 1. FC Nürnberg (A) | 3.7 - 2.2 |
| 18 Sep | W | 5-1 | SV Darmstadt 98 (H) | 1.7 - 1.2 |
| 12 Sep | L | 0-1 | FC St. Pauli (A) | — |
Chance quality, most recent season
Hertha BSC
+0.94
xG diff/game · 2.04 for, 1.10 against
VfL Wolfsburg
+0.52
xG diff/game · 2.20 for, 1.67 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hertha BSC | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 2.8 | 23–8 | WWDWW |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 1.9 | 25–14 | WDWDW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hertha BSC | home | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 4-0-0 | 2.3 / 0.8 | 1 |
| VfL Wolfsburg | away | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 2-2-1 | 2.2 / 1.6 | 1 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Hertha BSC 3 wins, 2 draws, VfL Wolfsburg 5 wins — 2.4 goals a game on average.
Match-by-match detail predates the fixtures this site tracks; the summary above comes from the head-to-head archive.