Fixture · Serie B · Sat 07 Nov 2026, 16:15 GMT
Mantova
v Hellas Verona
The model's read
Mantova
46%
match result
Draw
27%
match result
Hellas Verona
27%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Mantova or draw | 73.1% |
| Double chance Hellas Verona or draw | 53.9% |
| Double chance either team | 73.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.6% |
| Both teams to score | 56.7% |
| Mantova over 1.5 team goals | 47.8% |
| Hellas Verona over 1.5 team goals | 33.1% |
| Mantova clean sheet | 30.6% |
| Hellas Verona clean sheet | 20.0% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 12.8% · 2-1 9.4% · 1-0 8.7% · 2-0 7.9% · 0-0 7.3%
Young rating. This league joined the model this season, so the numbers
above are built on a first season of data only — a small sample with no prior
seasons behind it. Read them with more caution than the established six leagues. No
picks are generated from young leagues; how well these reads age is scored in public,
separately, on the calibration page.
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Hellas Verona
- Hellas Verona are unbeaten in their last 4 league games (W2 D2).
Recent form
Mantova
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | D | 1-1 | Modena (A) | 0.6 - 1.4 |
| 27 Oct | L | 0-2 | Cremonese (H) | 2.0 - 1.3 |
| 24 Oct | W | 1-0 | Virtus Entella (A) | 1.0 - 1.4 |
| 17 Oct | L | 0-2 | Palermo (H) | 1.8 - 2.0 |
| 11 Oct | W | 3-1 | Catanzaro (A) | 2.8 - 1.0 |
| 20 Sep | D | 2-2 | Pisa (H) | — |
Hellas Verona
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | W | 3-0 | Carrarese (H) | 1.2 - 0.9 |
| 28 Oct | W | 1-0 | Juve Stabia (A) | 1.4 - 0.8 |
| 25 Oct | D | 1-1 | Pisa (H) | 0.7 - 1.6 |
| 16 Oct | D | 2-2 | Catanzaro (H) | 2.0 - 1.2 |
| 11 Oct | L | 2-3 | Modena (A) | 2.1 - 2.4 |
| 20 Sep | W | 2-1 | Vicenza Virtus (H) | — |
Chance quality, most recent season
Mantova
+0.08
xG diff/game · 1.34 for, 1.26 against
Hellas Verona
+0.38
xG diff/game · 1.62 for, 1.24 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mantova | Serie B | 2026/27 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 1.8 | 15–11 | DLWLW |
| Hellas Verona | Serie B | 2026/27 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 1.5 | 19–13 | WWDDL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mantova | home | Serie B | 2026/27 | 2-1-2 | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1 |
| Hellas Verona | away | Serie B | 2026/27 | 1-1-2 | 1.3 / 1.8 | 1 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
No meetings on record.