Fixture · Bundesliga · Sat 07 Nov 2026, 17:30 GMT
VfB Stuttgart
v Werder Bremen
The model's read
VfB Stuttgart
47%
match result
Draw
23%
match result
Werder Bremen
30%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance VfB Stuttgart or draw | 69.9% |
| Double chance Werder Bremen or draw | 53.1% |
| Double chance either team | 77.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 49.7% |
| Both teams to score | 70.6% |
| VfB Stuttgart over 1.5 team goals | 60.5% |
| Werder Bremen over 1.5 team goals | 48.1% |
| VfB Stuttgart clean sheet | 19.8% |
| Werder Bremen clean sheet | 13.0% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 9.4% · 2-1 8.7% · 2-2 7.0% · 1-2 6.9% · 3-1 5.9%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
VfB Stuttgart
- VfB Stuttgart have averaged 2.3 goals a game across their last 6 home league games.
Werder Bremen
- Werder Bremen are unbeaten in their last 7 league games (W4 D3).
- Both teams scored in 5 of Werder Bremen's last 6 away league games.
Players in form
- E. Demirović has scored 5 goals in 8 league games this season.
- J. Vagnoman has scored 2 goals in 6 league games this season.
- B. El Khannouss has scored 2 goals in 8 league games this season.
- N. Füllkrug has scored 9 goals in 8 league games this season.
- K. Hein has made 27 saves in 8 league games this season.
- M. Grüll has 2 goals and 6 assists in 8 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
VfB Stuttgart
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | W | 4-2 | Bayer Leverkusen (A) | 2.9 - 2.1 |
| 23 Oct | L | 2-3 | Borussia Mönchengladbach (H) | 1.6 - 2.7 |
| 20 Oct | D | 1-1 | Atletico Madrid (H) | 1.5 - 0.9 |
| 17 Oct | L | 0-1 | Hamburger SV (A) | 1.7 - 1.5 |
| 14 Oct | W | 3-0 | Slovan Bratislava (A) | 1.9 - 0.8 |
| 10 Oct | W | 2-0 | SC Paderborn 07 (A) | 2.5 - 1.9 |
Werder Bremen
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | W | 2-0 | 1899 Hoffenheim (H) | 1.2 - 1.1 |
| 24 Oct | W | 3-2 | FSV Mainz 05 (A) | 2.6 - 1.7 |
| 17 Oct | D | 2-2 | SC Paderborn 07 (H) | 2.9 - 1.0 |
| 09 Oct | D | 2-2 | Borussia Dortmund (A) | 1.2 - 2.5 |
| 19 Sep | W | 3-2 | FC Augsburg (H) | 2.8 - 1.1 |
| 12 Sep | D | 1-1 | 1. FC Köln (A) | 1.1 - 1.6 |
Chance quality, most recent season
VfB Stuttgart
-0.37
xG diff/game · 2.00 for, 2.37 against
Werder Bremen
+0.07
xG diff/game · 1.65 for, 1.58 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 1.125 | 14–15 | WLLWL |
| Werder Bremen | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 1.875 | 17–14 | WWDDW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | home | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 1-0-2 | 2.0 / 1.7 | 0 |
| Werder Bremen | away | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 1-2-1 | 1.8 / 2.3 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: VfB Stuttgart 4 wins, 3 draws, Werder Bremen 3 wins — 2.8 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr 26 | VfB Stuttgart | 1-1 | Werder Bremen |
| 14 Dec 25 | Werder Bremen | 0-4 | VfB Stuttgart |